Language:English
Alexander Bublik v Jakub Mensik
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Bublik (Local)
Prediction 39.88%2.51fair odd
EV -0.299%
Edge -0.119%
Kelly -0.199%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.91%39.75%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.402.5044.44%42.08%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jakub Mensik (Visit)
Prediction 60.12%1.66fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -4.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%60.09%60.25%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.571.571.6266.23%63.79%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Bublik (Local): 39.88%; Jakub Mensik (Visit): 60.12%. For Alexander Bublik (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.299%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -0.299%E -0.119%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-01 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.299%E -0.119%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.02%E -5.24%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV -0.697%E -0.280%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -5.01%E -3.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-29 05:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -1.50%E -0.605%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -1.50%E -0.605%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 12:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.29%E -0.936%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -2.69%E -1.10%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 09:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.42%E -4.82%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 12:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.49%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -3.49%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -3.89%E -1.61%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.01%E -3.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.01%E -3.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 12:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.81%E -4.40%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.29%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.81%E -4.40%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 12:16 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.08%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-01 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.08%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.08%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.08%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 12:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.08%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.48%E -2.31%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.81%E -4.40%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -5.48%E -2.31%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.81%E -4.40%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 09:51 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.81%E -4.40%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 12:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.62%E -5.67%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.62%E -5.67%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 12:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.68%E -2.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.68%E -2.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.01%E -3.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.22%E -6.11%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.27%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 12:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.27%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 12:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.27%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.27%E -4.56%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.61%E -3.57%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 1.3% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.1% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |