Language:English
Alex Molcan v Arthur Rinderknech
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alex Molcan (Local)
Prediction 40.84%2.45fair odd
EV +0.056%
Edge +0.023%
Kelly +0.039%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.68%40.87%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.322.4545.45%43.17%43.10%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Rinderknech (Visit)
Prediction 59.16%1.69fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -4.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.32%59.13%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6465.36%62.68%62.50%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alex Molcan (Local): 40.84%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visit): 59.16%. For Alex Molcan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.449. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.450, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.056%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.056%E +0.023%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-01 01:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.761%E -0.313%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.12%E -4.53%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 11:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -1.58%E -0.655%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -6.53%E -4.13%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.99%E -0.828%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.99%E -0.828%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 01:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.99%E -0.828%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.99%E -0.828%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.30%E -5.36%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 01:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -3.57%E -2.19%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-30 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.62%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 02:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.03%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.98%E -1.81%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-30 07:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.03%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 08:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.03%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-29 17:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.03%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 23:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.03%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.53%E -4.13%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.44%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.84%E -2.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.84%E -2.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.84%E -2.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.84%E -2.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.84%E -2.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.84%E -2.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.84%E -2.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.84%E -2.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.84%E -2.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.84%E -2.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.84%E -2.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.84%E -2.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.84%E -2.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.84%E -2.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.84%E -2.08%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.71%E -4.94%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 02:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.25%E -2.26%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.25%E -2.26%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-30 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.66%E -2.45%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 02:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 11:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 02:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 02:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 02:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-30 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.93%E -3.73%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 21:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.93%E -3.73%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.93%E -3.73%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.93%E -3.73%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 02:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.53%E -4.13%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 01:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.12%E -4.53%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 02:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.30%E -5.36%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 02:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -6.48%E -2.83%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 21:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -6.48%E -2.83%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.12%E -4.53%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 10:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.12%E -4.53%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 10:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.12%E -4.53%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 10:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.12%E -4.53%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.12%E -4.53%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.12%E -4.53%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-30 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.11%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.12%E -4.53%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-30 18:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -8.93%E -4.00%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -8.89%E -5.77%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.15%E -4.62%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -9.48%E -6.20%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-30 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-10-01 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-10-01 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-10-01 02:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-10-01 02:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 1.7% | 2026-10-01 02:40 |