Language:English
Alex de Minaur v Quentin Halys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alex de Minaur (Local)
Prediction 71.97%1.39fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -5.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.32%72.01%71.89%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.311.311.3679.37%76.13%76.34%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Quentin Halys (Visit)
Prediction 28.03%3.57fair odd
EV -0.506%
Edge -0.143%
Kelly -0.199%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%27.99%28.11%30.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.363.403.5532.79%29.74%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alex de Minaur (Local): 71.97%; Quentin Halys (Visit): 28.03%. For Quentin Halys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -0.506%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.96%EV -2.12%E -1.56%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 28.04%EV -2.19%E -0.627%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -2.84%E -2.10%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-02 18:47 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -2.84%E -2.10%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -14.52%E -4.76%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -2.84%E -2.10%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -14.52%E -4.76%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.56%E -2.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 23:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -0.506%E -0.143%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 23:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 09:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 02:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 02:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 02:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 02:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 20:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.28%E -3.21%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.99%E -3.78%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.91%E -0.545%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 23:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -4.99%E -3.78%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -3.59%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 02:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.99%E -3.78%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.15%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 23:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.99%E -3.78%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -4.99%E -3.78%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-02 18:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.99%E -3.78%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.99%E -3.78%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -5.71%E -4.36%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -1.35%E -0.383%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 10:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.71%E -4.36%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.91%E -0.545%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 10:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -5.71%E -4.36%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -2.19%E -0.627%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 04:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.71%E -4.36%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.71%E -4.36%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.71%E -4.36%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.71%E -4.36%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.71%E -4.36%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-01 15:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.91%E -0.545%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 21:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 10:11 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 10:11 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 10:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 10:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 10:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.31%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 10:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -6.67%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 09:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-02 12:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-02 02:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-02 02:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.43%E -4.95%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-02 12:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.15%E -5.55%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 02:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.15%E -5.55%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.59%E -6.77%K -31.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 02:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.59%E -6.77%K -31.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-01 09:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -9.31%E -7.39%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-01 11:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 2.6% | 2026-10-03 02:45 |