Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Terence Atmane v Jack Draper

Início: 2026-08-04 19:06 UTC

Final: Terence Atmane 2–1 Jack Draper

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Terence Atmane (Local)

Previsão 34.25%2.92odd justa
EV -0.669%
Vantagem -0.231%
Kelly -0.352%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.18%34.31%34.21%35.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.752.792.9038.46%36.30%35.91%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jack Draper (Visitante)

Previsão 65.75%1.52odd justa
EV -2.69%
Vantagem -1.82%
Kelly -5.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.04%65.69%65.79%66.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.441.441.4871.43%69.53%69.44%67.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Terence Atmane (Local): 34.25%; Jack Draper (Visitante): 65.75%. Para Terence Atmane (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.92. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.90, com valor esperado de -0.669%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -0.669%E -0.231%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 18:20
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.35%E -0.470%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:54
DraftKings🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -1.70%E -0.591%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 19:04
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.38%E -0.836%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.38%E -0.836%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.01%E -2.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 18:49
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV -2.72%E -0.959%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -2.69%E -1.82%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 18:20
SportsBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.72%E -0.959%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.69%E -1.82%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.69%E -1.82%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 18:25
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:50
ReBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:19
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:35
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:30
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:35
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:34
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:35
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:35
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:35
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 21:35
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:50
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.09%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.95%E -5.68%K -19.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:55
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.12%E -1.85%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.01%E -2.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 18:49
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.35%E -2.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 18:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:49
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:55
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:55
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:05
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 17:30
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 03:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 17:30
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 18:50
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.64%E -4.67%K -15.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.95%E -5.68%K -19.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 21:34
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.81%E -2.11%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.95%E -5.68%K -19.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 18:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.52%E -2.79%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.01%E -2.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 18:20
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.52%E -2.79%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 21:35
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.52%E -2.79%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.52%E -2.79%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 21:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.52%E -2.79%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.30%E -5.17%K -17.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.52%E -2.79%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.95%E -5.68%K -19.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 05:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.23%E -3.48%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 05:05
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.23%E -3.48%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.64%E -4.67%K -15.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 18:55
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -9.23%E -3.48%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -7.30%E -5.17%K -17.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 19:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.26%E -3.92%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 19:05
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.26%E -3.92%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.26%E -3.92%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 19:04
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.26%E -3.92%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 19:04
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.01%E -2.75%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 05:00
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 18:45
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.32%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 18:46
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.95%E -5.68%K -19.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-04 19:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-08-04 19:05
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-08-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-08-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-08-04 19:05
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-08-04 19:05
Novig2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%1.5%2026-08-04 18:55
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.3%2026-08-04 18:45