Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sho Shimabukuro v Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

2026-08-01 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

54%

46%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sho Shimabukuro (Local)

Prediction 54.02%1.85fair odd

EV -1.68%

Edge -0.923%

Kelly -2.05%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.60%53.96%53.95%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.711.761.751.8258.48%56.88%57.14%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Visit)

Prediction 45.98%2.17fair odd

EV -3.45%

Edge -1.64%

Kelly -3.13%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.88%46.04%46.05%47.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.022.062.052.1049.50%48.54%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sho Shimabukuro (Local): 54.02%; Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Visit): 45.98%. For Sho Shimabukuro (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.82, with an expected value of -1.68%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.68%E -0.923%K -2.05%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.12%E -3.53%K -6.98%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-01 10:35
Pinnacle	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.84%E -2.16%K -4.92%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.37%E -2.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-01 13:35
Betway	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.46%E -3.12%K -7.28%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-01 09:40
BoyleSports	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.75%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-01 11:19
PointsBet (AU)	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.62%E -4.46%K -10.74%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.45%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-01 09:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%	2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%	0.6%	2026-08-01 13:35