The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sho Shimabukuro v Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 17:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sho Shimabukuro (Local)

Prediction 54.50%1.83fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.12%54.54%54.48%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.751.751.7858.48%57.14%56.98%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Visit)

Prediction 45.50%2.20fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%45.46%45.52%45.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.092.102.1048.78%47.76%47.62%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sho Shimabukuro (Local): 54.50%; Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Visit): 45.50%. For Sho Shimabukuro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.78, with an expected value of -2.98%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.98%E -1.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.53%E -1.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 17:19
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.53%E -1.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.53%E -1.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 17:19
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:05
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 16:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 16:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.80%E -3.98%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%2.3%2026-08-01 17:25

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