Language:English
Rafael Jodar v Corentin Moutet
Head to Head
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prediction 74.47%1.34fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -7.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.04%74.54%74.48%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.261.3181.97%79.01%79.37%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Corentin Moutet (Visit)
Prediction 25.53%3.92fair odd
EV +2.10%
Edge +0.525%
Kelly +0.700%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.66%25.46%25.52%27.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.743.754.0030.77%26.75%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rafael Jodar (Local): 74.47%; Corentin Moutet (Visit): 25.53%. For Corentin Moutet (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 17 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.00, producing a positive expected value of +2.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 12:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Casumo | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Unibet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| betPARX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.65%E -6.17%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.10%E +0.525%K +0.700%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| GTbets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +0.825%E +0.209%K +0.280%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.16%E -4.89%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.451%E -0.116%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -0.962%E -0.248%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 21:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.93%E -3.04%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -1.73%E -0.449%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.73%E -0.449%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -9.14%E -7.49%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -1.73%E -0.449%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -6.16%E -4.89%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -1.98%E -0.516%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.18%E -2.45%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -3.00%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.00%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.00%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 08:30 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.00%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.14%E -7.49%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.00%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -3.93%E -3.04%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -3.26%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -3.93%E -3.04%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -3.26%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.93%E -3.04%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.93%E -3.04%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 22:58 |
| NordicBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betsson | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Fliff | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.75%EV -2.44%E -1.86%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.25%EV -6.07%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.83%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.83%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.18%E -2.45%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.93%E -3.04%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.16%E -4.89%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 15:10 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.16%E -4.89%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.42%E -4.27%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -9.39%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.18%E -2.45%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 23:09 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.18%E -2.45%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.18%E -2.45%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.18%E -2.45%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.18%E -2.45%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.93%E -3.04%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.16%E -4.89%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| ReBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.16%E -4.89%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| betano_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.91%E -5.53%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.18%E -2.45%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -14.49%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.18%E -2.45%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -14.49%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.40%E -6.83%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -17.04%E -5.24%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |