Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marton Fucsovics v Corentin Moutet

2026-08-02 14:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marton Fucsovics (Local)

Prediction 46.80%2.14fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.62%46.80%46.79%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.052.072.0850.00%48.73%48.31%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Corentin Moutet (Visit)

Prediction 53.20%1.88fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.20%53.21%54.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.771.761.8258.14%56.48%56.82%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Marton Fucsovics (Local): 46.80%; Corentin Moutet (Visit): 53.20%. For Marton Fucsovics (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.08, with an expected value of -2.66%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.66%E -1.28%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.17%E -1.74%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-01 18:19
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.62%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 15:34
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.62%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 15:35
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.62%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 15:35
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.62%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 15:35
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.62%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 15:34
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.62%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 15:34
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.62%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 15:34
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.62%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 15:39
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.62%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 15:45
Bally Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.62%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.62%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.62%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 17:14
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -3.60%E -1.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09%EV -3.17%E -1.74%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 19:20
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 16:15
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.07%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.49%E -4.94%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.53%E -2.22%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:30
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.53%E -2.22%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:29
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.53%E -2.22%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.83%E -3.29%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 17:29
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.24%E -2.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 21:15
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.83%E -3.29%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 16:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.90%E -3.94%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 16:10
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.0%2026-08-01 22:10