Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Martin Damm Jr. v Henrique Rocha

2026-08-01 14:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

63%

37%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Martin Damm Jr. (Local)

Prediction 63.43%1.58fair odd

EV -2.32%

Edge -1.51%

Kelly -4.30%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.50%63.75%63.20%65.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.421.491.501.5470.42%67.29%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Henrique Rocha (Visit)

Prediction 36.57%2.73fair odd

EV +0.572%

Edge +0.208%

Kelly +0.327%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.05%36.25%36.80%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.612.612.7540.00%38.26%38.31%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Martin Damm Jr. (Local): 63.43%; Henrique Rocha (Visit): 36.57%. For Henrique Rocha (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.75, producing a positive expected value of +0.572%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
PointsBet (AU)	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.93%E -6.99%K -23.65%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +0.572%E +0.208%K +0.327%G +0.002%	6.8%	2026-08-01 09:25
BetOnline.ag	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.32%E -1.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-01 12:05
Pinnacle	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-01 13:35
Betway	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.84%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-01 11:19
BoyleSports	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.71%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-01 13:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig	1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%	1.6%	2026-08-01 13:35