Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

James Duckworth v Christopher O'Connell

2026-08-02 16:10 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

James Duckworth (Local)

Prediction 39.17%2.55fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.826%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%39.18%39.16%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.452.5043.48%41.07%40.82%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Christopher O'Connell (Visit)

Prediction 60.83%1.64fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -5.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%60.82%60.84%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.551.551.5965.36%64.32%64.52%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: James Duckworth (Local): 39.17%; Christopher O'Connell (Visit): 60.83%. For James Duckworth (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.50, with an expected value of -2.06%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.06%E -0.826%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.29%E -2.07%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 08:34
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.06%E -0.826%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.11%E -3.28%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 05:54
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.24%E -1.31%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.29%E -2.07%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 08:40
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.02%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 05:39
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.02%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 05:39
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.02%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 05:39
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.02%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 05:39
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.02%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 05:39
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.02%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 05:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.02%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 05:39
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.02%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 05:39
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.02%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 05:40
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.02%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 05:39
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.02%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 05:39
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.02%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 05:39
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.02%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.94%E -4.53%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 05:40
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.41%E -1.81%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 08:34
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 08:40
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 08:34
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.76%E -2.84%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 08:29
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.76%E -2.84%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 08:29
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.76%E -2.84%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 08:29
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.90%E -4.30%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.94%E -4.53%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 39.14%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.86%12.5%2026-08-02 08:35