Language:English
James Duckworth v Christopher O'Connell
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
James Duckworth (Local)
Prediction 42.31%2.36fair odd
EV -0.987%
Edge -0.422%
Kelly -0.737%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.18%42.28%42.31%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.3447.62%44.64%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Christopher O'Connell (Visit)
Prediction 57.69%1.73fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%57.72%57.69%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.641.651.7062.50%60.98%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: James Duckworth (Local): 42.31%; Christopher O'Connell (Visit): 57.69%. For James Duckworth (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.34, with an expected value of -0.987%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -0.987%E -0.422%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -4.24%E -2.55%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 19:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 16:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 19:03 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 16:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 16:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 16:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.53%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.12%E -4.43%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -4.37%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.24%E -2.55%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.51%E -1.48%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.51%E -1.48%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 16:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.24%E -2.55%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 17:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.55%E -4.04%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.55%E -4.04%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 18:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.80%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.70%E -4.81%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -5.22%E -2.33%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -6.49%E -2.94%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 17:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 16:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 19:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 16:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.39%E -3.29%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.39%E -3.29%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.70%E -4.81%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 14:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.03%E -4.20%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.93%E -1.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 19:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.03%E -4.20%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 16:12 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.14%E -5.31%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.14%E -5.31%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 19:25 |
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