Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaime Faria v Christopher O'Connell

2026-08-01 18:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

61%

39%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaime Faria (Local)

Prediction 61.08%1.64fair odd

EV -4.71%

Edge -3.02%

Kelly -8.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.61%61.19%60.88%62.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.511.541.551.5666.23%64.79%64.52%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Christopher O'Connell (Visit)

Prediction 38.92%2.57fair odd

EV +0.016%

Edge +0.006%

Kelly +0.010%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.77%38.81%39.12%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.352.442.402.5742.55%41.07%41.67%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jaime Faria (Local): 61.08%; Christopher O'Connell (Visit): 38.92%. For Christopher O'Connell (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.5696. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.5700, producing a positive expected value of +0.016%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-01 12:40
Pinnacle	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.67%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -2.32%E -0.924%K -1.54%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-01 12:20
PointsBet (AU)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.71%E -3.02%K -8.41%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-01 12:09
Betway	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.67%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.60%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-01 12:10
BoyleSports	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.54%E -4.28%K -12.34%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.38%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-01 12:34
Marathon Bet	1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -7.76%E -5.14%K -15.22%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.33%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-01 12:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%	2.6%	2026-08-01 13:25