Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacob Fearnley v Sebastian Ofner

2026-08-01 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

61%

39%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacob Fearnley (Local)

Prediction 60.64%1.65fair odd

EV -3.59%

Edge -2.26%

Kelly -6.08%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.43%60.58%60.68%61.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.531.561.561.5965.36%64.10%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sebastian Ofner (Visit)

Prediction 39.36%2.54fair odd

EV -1.99%

Edge -0.798%

Kelly -1.33%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.52%39.42%39.32%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.402.402.4943.48%41.70%41.67%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jacob Fearnley (Local): 60.64%; Sebastian Ofner (Visit): 39.36%. For Sebastian Ofner (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.49, with an expected value of -1.99%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.99%E -0.798%K -1.33%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-01 10:35
BoyleSports	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.47%E -4.12%K -7.28%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-01 10:35
Pinnacle	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -5.41%E -3.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -1.99%E -0.798%K -1.33%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-01 13:35
PointsBet (AU)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.41%E -3.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-01 09:29
Betway	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-01 09:40
Marathon Bet	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 39.84%EV -9.07%E -3.93%K -6.93%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-01 09:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig	1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%	1.3%	2026-08-01 13:25