Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalibor Svrcina v Titouan Droguet

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 20:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalibor Svrcina (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.24%50.00%51.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.881.871.9354.64%53.22%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Titouan Droguet (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.505%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.30%49.76%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.891.901.9854.64%52.82%52.63%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalibor Svrcina (Local): 50.00%; Titouan Droguet (Visit): 50.00%. For Titouan Droguet (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.98, with an expected value of -1.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 20:10
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 14:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:29
Betway🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 19:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 09:39
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 20:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.00%E -0.505%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 10:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.00%EV -8.00%E -4.35%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.00%EV -8.00%E -4.35%K -9.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 20:29
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 10:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%2.6%2026-08-01 20:10

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