Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Benjamin Bonzi v Yannick Hanfmann

Início: 2026-08-03 22:41 UTC

Final: Benjamin Bonzi 1–2 Yannick Hanfmann

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Benjamin Bonzi (Local)

Previsão 47.04%2.13odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.581%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.31%46.91%46.95%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.032.022.1052.63%49.35%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Yannick Hanfmann (Visitante)

Previsão 52.96%1.89odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -2.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.09%53.05%54.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.781.781.8560.61%56.30%56.18%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Benjamin Bonzi (Local): 47.04%; Yannick Hanfmann (Visitante): 52.96%. Para Benjamin Bonzi (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.13. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.10, com valor esperado de -1.22%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.22%E -0.581%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:59
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 09:00
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 18:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:40
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 09:00
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:59
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:58
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 09:00
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.16%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:25
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 15:49
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 22:39
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 19:24
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 05:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 07:39
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:34
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 21:49
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 14:09
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.04%E -1.98%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.02%E -1.09%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 22:40
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.04%E -1.98%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 13:00
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.04%E -1.98%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 13:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -4.04%E -1.98%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -8.91%E -5.18%K -12.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.51%E -2.22%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 09:15
ReBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.51%E -2.22%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.98%E -2.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.98%E -2.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 16:59
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.98%E -2.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.98%E -2.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.73%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 22:25
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:20
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 20:29
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:40
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:25
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 07:39
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 07:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:40
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 21:50
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 07:40
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:40
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.73%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 22:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 07:39
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 21:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 22:30
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 21:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 21:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.91%E -5.18%K -12.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -6.39%E -3.21%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.14%E -2.29%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.86%E -3.47%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 22:39
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.86%E -3.47%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.73%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.86%E -3.47%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.73%E -3.22%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:50
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 19:25
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 21:22
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 21:21
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.48%EV -10.63%E -5.59%K -11.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.52%EV -12.61%E -7.64%K -19.41%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-03 22:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-08-03 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-08-03 22:30
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-08-03 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-08-03 22:30
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-08-03 22:20
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%1.9%2026-08-03 22:40
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.4%2026-08-03 22:40