Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Benjamin Bonzi v Yannick Hanfmann

2026-08-02 23:10 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

46%

54%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Benjamin Bonzi (Local)

Predicción 46.26%2.16momio equitativo

EV -2.86%

Ventaja -1.36%

Kelly -2.60%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

44.74%46.35%46.35%48.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.952.052.052.1051.28%48.84%48.78%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Yannick Hanfmann (Visitante)

Predicción 53.74%1.86momio equitativo

EV -1.65%

Ventaja -0.901%

Kelly -1.99%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

52.00%53.65%53.65%55.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.701.761.751.8358.82%56.79%57.14%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Benjamin Bonzi (Local): 46.26%; Yannick Hanfmann (Visitante): 53.74%. Para Yannick Hanfmann (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.86. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.83, con un valor esperado de -1.65%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Winamax (DE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.86%E -1.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.34%E -2.44%K -5.56%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-02 14:00
SportsBet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.86%E -1.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-02 13:34
Hard Rock Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.86%E -1.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-02 13:19
Sky Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.86%E -1.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-02 13:44
GTbets	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.86%E -1.36%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.10%E -4.74%K -11.41%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-02 13:19
Coolbet	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.19%E -1.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-02 14:40
FanDuel	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-02 13:05
Unibet	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 08:59
TABtouch	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 09:00
PMU (FR)	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 08:59
Casumo	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 08:59
Unibet (SE)	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 08:59
Unibet (NL)	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 08:59
LeoVegas (SE)	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 08:59
Grosvenor	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 08:59
ATG (SE)	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 09:00
Bally Bet	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 08:59
betPARX	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 08:58
Svenska Spel	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 09:00
BetRivers	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-02 14:25
BetOnline.ag	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-02 10:09
LowVig.ag	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-02 10:10
NordicBet	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-02 13:19
DraftKings	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.71%E -2.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.34%E -2.44%K -5.56%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-02 13:09
Unibet (UK)	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.71%E -2.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-02 13:44
Pinnacle	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -1.65%E -0.901%K -1.99%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-02 14:40
Bovada	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-02 12:03
Fanatics	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-02 13:00
Dabble (AU)	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-02 14:39
Betway	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-02 11:54
PlayUp	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-02 14:40
TAB	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-02 14:39
PointsBet (AU)	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-02 08:44
theScore Bet	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-02 13:10
Winamax (FR)	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-02 13:45
Caesars	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.49%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-02 14:09
Tipico (DE)	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.18%E -2.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.64%E -5.08%K -12.34%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-02 13:49
Marathon Bet	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.64%E -2.76%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-02 11:55
1xBet	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.64%E -2.76%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-02 13:30
Betclic (FR)	2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -6.10%E -3.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -2.19%E -1.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-02 14:40
ReBet	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -6.10%E -3.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-02 14:09
LeoVegas	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.56%E -3.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-02 14:40
888sport	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-02 14:35
Mr Green (SE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-02 14:35
888sport (SE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-02 14:34
Unibet (FR)	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-02 13:40
betfred_uk	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-02 13:54
William Hill	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-02 14:39
Everygame	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-02 14:40
Betr (AU)	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-02 14:40
BetMGM	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-02 12:53
BoyleSports	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-02 09:55
Paddy Power	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-02 13:29
Bet Victor	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.49%E -3.74%K -7.49%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-02 14:03
Neds	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.41%E -4.25%K -8.58%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.34%E -2.44%K -5.56%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.41%E -4.25%K -8.58%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.34%E -2.44%K -5.56%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-02 14:15
BetAnything	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.80%E -5.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.08%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-02 12:19
NetBet (FR)	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.80%E -5.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-08-02 14:14

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%	1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%	0.6%	2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%	1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%	0.6%	2026-08-02 15:10
Matchbook	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%	1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%	0.6%	2026-08-02 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%	1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%	0.6%	2026-08-02 15:10
Smarkets	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%	1.7%	2026-08-02 15:15
Novig	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%	2.7%	2026-08-02 14:40