Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Benjamin Bonzi v Hugo Dellien

2026-08-01 18:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Benjamin Bonzi (Local)

Prediction 78.89%1.27fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -17.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.61%78.90%78.84%79.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.191.191.2285.47%83.92%84.03%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hugo Dellien (Visit)

Prediction 21.11%4.74fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -0.581%
Kelly -0.742%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.77%21.10%21.16%21.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.464.504.6123.26%22.44%22.22%21.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Benjamin Bonzi (Local): 78.89%; Hugo Dellien (Visit): 21.11%. For Hugo Dellien (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.74. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.61, with an expected value of -2.68%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.76%E -3.08%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 10:35
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.54%E -3.76%K -21.64%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -2.68%E -0.581%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 12:20
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.91%E -5.86%K -38.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 11:20
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 12:15
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13%1.8%2026-08-01 12:50