StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexei Popyrin v Thiago Agustin Tirante

2026-08-07 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexei Popyrin (Hemma)

Prognos 48.71%2.05rättvist odds
EV -2.57%
Fördel -1.29%
Kelly -2.57%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.30%48.72%48.67%50.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.831.951.952.0054.64%51.41%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Borta)

Prognos 51.29%1.95rättvist odds
EV -2.04%
Fördel -1.07%
Kelly -2.25%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.00%51.28%51.33%52.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.741.831.821.9157.47%54.70%54.95%52.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Alexei Popyrin (Hemma): 48.71%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Borta): 51.29%. För Thiago Agustin Tirante (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.95. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 1.91, med väntevärdet -2.04%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:14
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:14
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:14
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.09%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 08:39
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 07:20
Betsson🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 07:14
NordicBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 07:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.63%E -3.06%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 07:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -9.22%E -5.21%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 07:14
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 08:35
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.09%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 08:22
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:37
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:14
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.25%E -5.86%K -13.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 07:15
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 07:00
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.47%E -3.37%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 08:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -6.47%E -3.37%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -7.17%E -3.96%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 07:14
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 08:19
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 08:15
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 08:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 08:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 08:15
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 08:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 08:24
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 07:10
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 07:05
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 07:10
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 07:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 07:14
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 07:15
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 08:38
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 08:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 07:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.22%E -5.21%K -11.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 07:15
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.22%E -5.21%K -11.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 07:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.74%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.26%EV -10.76%E -6.18%K -14.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-06 07:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-08-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-08-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-08-06 08:55
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-08-06 09:05
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%10.0%2026-08-06 09:05