Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexei Popyrin v Thiago Agustin Tirante

Início: 2026-08-08 00:39 UTC

Final: Alexei Popyrin 0–2 Thiago Agustin Tirante

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexei Popyrin (Local)

Previsão 54.89%1.82odd justa
EV -1.75%
Vantagem -0.980%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.05%54.85%54.84%55.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.721.721.7959.88%57.98%58.14%55.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante)

Previsão 45.11%2.22odd justa
EV -1.65%
Vantagem -0.757%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%45.15%45.16%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.53%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexei Popyrin (Local): 54.89%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante): 45.11%. Para Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.22. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.18, com valor esperado de -1.65%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -1.75%E -0.980%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-07 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.85%E -1.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.00%E -1.40%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-07 22:05
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.85%E -1.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 08:44
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.85%E -1.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.77%E -4.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 08:45
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.40%E -1.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -1.65%E -0.757%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-07 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.40%E -1.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 11:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.40%E -1.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 11:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.95%E -2.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:13
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 21:15
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.81%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 08:24
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.81%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 08:24
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.81%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 22:45
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 16:25
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.50%E -2.59%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 13:27
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.10%E -0.969%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.10%E -0.969%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 23:55
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.00%E -1.40%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 21:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.81%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 16:10
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:46
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:45
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:45
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 08:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.05%E -2.92%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 05:14
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:05
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:05
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:05
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:05
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:05
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.36%E -2.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.81%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 21:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 22:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 22:05
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 20:56
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.60%E -3.25%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.77%E -4.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 23:49
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -6.15%E -3.59%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -3.91%E -1.83%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 16:01
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.59%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.59%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 00:04
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.59%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 20:55
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 22:35
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 21:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 22:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.61%E -3.19%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 21:00
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 05:50
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.69%E -3.94%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 05:50
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.24%E -4.29%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 21:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.79%E -4.64%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.16%E -2.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 00:05
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.34%E -4.99%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 15:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.34%E -4.99%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.26%E -2.50%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 15:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-08-08 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-08-08 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-08-08 00:15
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-08-08 00:15
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-08 00:15
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-08-08 00:15
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-08-08 00:15