Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexei Popyrin v Thiago Agustin Tirante

2026-08-07 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexei Popyrin (Local)

Previsão 48.71%2.05odd justa
EV -2.57%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -2.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.30%48.72%48.67%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.951.952.0054.64%51.41%51.28%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante)

Previsão 51.29%1.95odd justa
EV -2.04%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -2.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.28%51.33%52.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.831.821.9157.47%54.70%54.95%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alexei Popyrin (Local): 48.71%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante): 51.29%. Para Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.95. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.91, com valor esperado de -2.04%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:14
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:14
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:14
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.09%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 08:39
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 07:20
Betsson🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 07:14
NordicBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 07:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.63%E -3.06%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 07:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -9.22%E -5.21%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 07:14
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 08:35
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.09%E -2.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 08:22
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:37
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:14
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.25%E -5.86%K -13.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 07:15
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 07:00
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.47%E -3.37%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 08:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -6.47%E -3.37%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -7.17%E -3.96%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 07:14
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 08:19
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 08:15
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 08:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 08:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 08:15
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 08:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -4.61%E -2.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 08:24
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 07:10
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 07:05
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 07:10
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 07:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 07:14
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 07:15
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 08:38
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 08:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.68%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 07:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.22%E -5.21%K -11.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 07:15
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.22%E -5.21%K -11.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 07:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.74%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.26%EV -10.76%E -6.18%K -14.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-06 07:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-08-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-08-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-08-06 08:55
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-08-06 09:05
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%10.0%2026-08-06 09:05