Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexei Popyrin v Thanasi Kokkinakis

2026-08-01 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

40%

60%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexei Popyrin (Local)

Prediction 39.84%2.51fair odd

EV -2.40%

Edge -0.980%

Kelly -1.66%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.24%39.86%39.75%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.372.382.4543.48%42.16%41.93%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Thanasi Kokkinakis (Visit)

Prediction 60.16%1.66fair odd

EV -3.14%

Edge -1.95%

Kelly -5.14%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.43%60.14%60.25%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.531.571.561.6165.36%63.63%63.90%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alexei Popyrin (Local): 39.84%; Thanasi Kokkinakis (Visit): 60.16%. For Alexei Popyrin (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.45, with an expected value of -2.40%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.40%E -0.980%K -1.66%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.14%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-01 11:10
PointsBet (AU)	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.14%E -3.94%K -10.97%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-01 11:10
Betway	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.39%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.75%E -4.35%K -12.27%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-01 10:34
Pinnacle	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.59%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.14%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-01 11:20
Marathon Bet	2.31I 43.29%NM 39.84%EV -7.98%E -3.45%K -6.09%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -7.95%E -5.20%K -15.00%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-01 13:14
BoyleSports	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.38%E -3.64%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-01 13:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%	1.5%	2026-08-01 12:45