Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Shevchenko v Kyrian Jacquet

2026-08-01 14:35 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

42%

58%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Shevchenko (Local)

Prediction 42.47%2.35fair odd

EV -4.02%

Edge -1.78%

Kelly -3.19%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.01%42.48%42.40%42.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.152.222.252.2646.51%44.98%44.44%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kyrian Jacquet (Visit)

Prediction 57.53%1.74fair odd

EV -2.77%

Edge -1.64%

Kelly -4.01%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.03%57.52%57.60%57.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.591.641.641.6962.89%60.91%60.98%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alexander Shevchenko (Local): 42.47%; Kyrian Jacquet (Visit): 57.53%. For Kyrian Jacquet (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.74. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.69, with an expected value of -2.77%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.02%E -1.78%K -3.19%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.92%E -2.35%K -5.85%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-01 13:05
BetOnline.ag	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.77%E -1.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-01 11:35
Betway	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.80%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-01 12:55
PointsBet (AU)	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.22%E -3.82%K -9.88%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-01 12:54
Marathon Bet	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82%EV -8.52%E -5.36%K -14.45%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-01 13:00
BoyleSports	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.80%E -4.20%K -10.96%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-01 12:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%	2.4%	2026-08-01 13:30