Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Vukic v Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

2026-08-01 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

64%

36%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Vukic (Local)

Prediction 63.93%1.56fair odd

EV -1.55%

Edge -1.01%

Kelly -2.87%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.98%63.92%63.96%64.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.431.471.461.5469.93%68.03%68.26%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visit)

Prediction 36.07%2.77fair odd

EV -1.52%

Edge -0.559%

Kelly -0.881%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.15%36.08%36.04%37.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.602.602.7340.00%38.39%38.46%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aleksandar Vukic (Local): 63.93%; Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visit): 36.07%. For Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.73, with an expected value of -1.52%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -1.55%E -1.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -5.49%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-01 10:35
Pinnacle	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -5.39%E -3.64%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.881%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-01 12:35
PointsBet (AU)	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.39%E -3.64%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.21%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-01 12:59
Betway	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.30%E -5.04%K -16.23%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.21%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-01 12:59
BoyleSports	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.94%E -5.52%K -18.05%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.82%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-01 13:15
Marathon Bet	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.34%EV -8.58%E -6.00%K -19.96%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 35.66%EV -6.94%E -2.69%K -4.39%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-01 12:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%	2.6%	2026-08-01 13:35