Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Adam Walton v Jenson Brooksby

Início: 2026-08-04 15:05 UTC

Final: Adam Walton 0–2 Jenson Brooksby

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Adam Walton (Local)

Previsão 45.88%2.18odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -2.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.88%45.89%46.00%47.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.072.072.1250.00%48.40%48.31%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jenson Brooksby (Visitante)

Previsão 54.12%1.85odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.827%
Kelly -1.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.60%54.11%54.00%55.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.751.741.8258.82%57.18%57.47%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Adam Walton (Local): 45.88%; Jenson Brooksby (Visitante): 54.12%. Para Jenson Brooksby (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.85. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.82, com valor esperado de -1.51%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.73%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 14:00
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.73%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 00:24
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.67%E -2.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 13:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 13:10
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 13:14
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 13:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 18:24
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:24
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:25
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:24
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:25
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:24
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:23
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:24
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 09:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:24
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 09:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 05:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 07:45
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 01:34
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 18:54
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -4.11%E -1.96%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV -1.51%E -0.827%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.11%E -1.96%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -4.11%E -1.96%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.92%E -4.02%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:50
DraftKings🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 13:59
ReBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:04
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 13:59
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.02%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:00
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 14:04
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.75%E -2.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:00
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 13:59
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 13:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:00
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:15
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.92%E -4.02%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 01:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.92%E -4.02%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 01:35
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 01:34
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.94%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 01:35
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.51%E -0.827%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 14:49
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.67%E -2.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 14:54
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:45
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:45
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.67%E -2.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 14:50
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 13:14
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 14:50
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 14:05
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 14:03
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%0.2%2026-08-04 14:55
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.89%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.11%0.4%2026-08-04 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-04 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-04 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-08-04 14:55
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-08-04 14:55
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 45.38%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.62%3.4%2026-08-04 14:55