Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Adam Walton v Jenson Brooksby

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Adam Walton (Local)

Predicción 44.87%2.23momio equitativo
EV +0.051%
Ventaja +0.023%
Kelly +0.042%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.97%44.83%44.87%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.982.102.102.2350.51%47.62%47.62%44.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jenson Brooksby (Visitante)

Predicción 55.13%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -3.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%55.17%55.13%57.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.711.721.7761.73%58.31%58.14%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Adam Walton (Local): 44.87%; Jenson Brooksby (Visitante): 55.13%. Para Adam Walton (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.229. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.230, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.051%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV +0.051%E +0.023%K +0.042%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 13:19
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 15:15
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:05
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 09:10
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.82%E -4.04%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 09:10
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.82%E -4.04%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 15:05
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.68%E -6.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 13:49
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.99%E -1.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:09
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:25
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.33%E -2.53%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 10:23
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.33%E -2.53%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:30
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 14:04
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 14:05
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 09:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 09:09
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 09:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 09:10
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:54
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:10
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 13:19
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:45
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.82%E -4.04%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 13:10
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.82%E -4.04%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:10
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:29
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:44
Unibet (UK)2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -6.23%E -2.98%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 13:44
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.68%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:39
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.13%E -3.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -9.03%E -5.47%K -13.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 14:14
Betclic (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.58%E -3.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.38%E -4.39%K -10.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 12:40
ReBet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.58%E -3.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.38%E -4.39%K -10.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 15:04
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 14:19
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 12:53
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 14:09
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:19
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:03
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 09:55
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.37%E -4.64%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.37%E -4.64%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:15
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:44
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -11.17%E -5.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.85%EV -10.13%E -6.22%K -16.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 13:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-08-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-08-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-08-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-08-02 14:25
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%3.3%2026-08-02 15:20
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%4.7%2026-08-02 15:05