La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Marco Trungelliti v Hamad Medjedovic
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Marco Trungelliti (Casa)
Previsione 29.47%3.39quota equa
EV -1.27%
Vantaggio -0.380%
Kelly -0.541%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.73%29.54%29.50%31.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.133.053.3533.90%31.90%32.79%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Hamad Medjedovic (Trasferta)
Previsione 70.53%1.42quota equa
EV -2.67%
Vantaggio -1.93%
Kelly -7.03%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.60%70.46%70.50%71.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.361.361.3875.19%73.56%73.53%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -1.27%E -0.380%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -1.86%E -0.559%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -3.38%E -2.46%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 13:59 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.75%E -0.832%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.75%E -0.832%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.75%E -0.832%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.75%E -0.832%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.17%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.17%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Bally Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| betPARX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.11%E -3.32%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -13.06%E -4.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (1)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |