Language:English
Brandon Nakashima v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Prediction 46.56%2.15fair odd
EV +2.42%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +2.02%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%46.36%46.75%48.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.052.082.2052.08%48.68%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 53.44%1.87fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.904%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.85%53.64%53.25%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.751.8459.88%57.18%57.14%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 46.56%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit): 53.44%. For Brandon Nakashima (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.42%E +1.10%K +2.02%G +0.049% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.75%E -6.44%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV +1.49%E +0.685%K +1.27%G +0.019% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -9.68%E -5.73%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 15:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV +1.03%E +0.473%K +0.878%G +0.009% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -5.94%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.096%E +0.045%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.01%E -4.03%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.096%E +0.045%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.01%E -4.03%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +0.096%E +0.045%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.75%E -6.44%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.01%E -4.03%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.54%E -4.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.54%E -4.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.54%E -4.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.54%E -4.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 15:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.08%E -4.70%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.15%E -5.38%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.15%E -5.38%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -9.68%E -5.73%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.75%E -6.44%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.94%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 15:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -10.21%E -6.08%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 15:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.94%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.15%E -5.38%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.15%E -5.38%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -8.08%E -4.70%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -8.08%E -4.70%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.96%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.73%E -1.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.96%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 15:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.96%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -9.15%E -5.38%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.89%E -3.44%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -1.66%E -0.904%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.89%E -3.44%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.89%E -3.44%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.89%E -3.44%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.89%E -3.44%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.89%E -3.44%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.89%E -3.44%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.01%E -4.03%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 15:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.89%E -3.44%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.54%E -4.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.89%E -3.44%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.61%E -5.04%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -7.35%E -3.69%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.82%E -3.95%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -8.75%E -4.46%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -2.73%E -1.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.75%E -4.46%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.22%E -4.73%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.22%E -4.73%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.22%E -4.73%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.22%E -4.73%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -10.61%E -5.53%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.13% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.87% | -0.1% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 0.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |