La scuola delle quote

Arthur Fils v Terence Atmane

Inizio: 2026-04-14 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Arthur Fils (Casa)

Previsione 80.77%1.24quota equa
EV -3.08%
Vantaggio -2.56%
Kelly -15.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
77.78%80.83%80.72%82.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.121.171.181.2089.29%85.33%84.75%83.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Terence Atmane (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.23%5.20quota equa
EV +5.77%
Vantaggio +1.05%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescita +0.074%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.17%19.17%19.28%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.904.865.5023.81%20.43%20.58%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +5.77%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.074%3.7%2026-04-14 17:20
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.92%E -6.95%K -56.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +5.77%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.074%5.9%2026-04-14 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +3.85%E +0.713%K +0.875%G +0.034%4.0%2026-04-14 17:19
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +1.92%E +0.363%K +0.448%G +0.009%3.6%2026-04-14 17:20
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.12%E -6.19%K -47.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +1.92%E +0.363%K +0.448%G +0.009%5.8%2026-04-14 17:20
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.54%E -8.52%K -79.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +1.92%E +0.363%K +0.448%G +0.009%8.2%2026-04-14 17:20
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.92%E -6.95%K -56.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +0.002%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%EV -3.08%E -2.56%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%EV -0.960%E -0.186%K -0.231%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-14 17:20
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 81.00%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.00%EV -3.27%E -0.650%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 17:20
ReBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 17:20
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 17:19
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 17:20
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 17:20
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 17:20
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 17:20
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.31%E -5.44%K -39.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 17:20
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.12%E -6.19%K -47.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.12%E -6.19%K -47.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.92%E -6.95%K -56.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 17:20
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.92%E -6.95%K -56.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 17:19
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -4.81%E -0.971%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 17:19
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -6.31%E -5.44%K -39.43%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -4.81%E -0.971%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 17:20
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.72%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.28%EV -5.00%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.77%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 17:19
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.77%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 17:20
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.77%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 17:19
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.77%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 17:20
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.77%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 17:20
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.50%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.50%EV -6.34%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 17:14
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.73%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 17:20
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.73%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 17:20
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.08%E -2.56%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.08%E -2.56%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:19
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.31%E -5.44%K -39.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.12%E -6.19%K -47.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 17:20
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.12%E -6.19%K -47.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 17:20
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.08%E -2.56%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.65%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 17:17
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.65%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 17:19
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.65%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 17:20
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.88%E -3.26%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 17:20
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 17:20
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.46%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 17:11
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.31%E -5.44%K -39.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.46%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 17:20
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.38%E -3.50%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 17:20
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.08%E -2.56%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -19.23%E -4.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 17:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-14 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-04-14 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-04-14 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-04-14 17:20
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%2.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 81.55%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%3.0%2026-04-14 17:20