مدرسة الاحتمالات

Arthur Fils v Terence Atmane

البداية: 2026-04-14 17:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Arthur Fils (المضيف)

التنبؤ 80.77%1.24السعر العادل
EV -3.08%
الأفضلية -2.56%
Kelly -15.39%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
77.78%80.83%80.72%82.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.121.171.181.2089.29%85.33%84.75%83.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Terence Atmane (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.23%5.20السعر العادل
EV +5.77%
الأفضلية +1.05%
Kelly +1.28%
النمو +0.074%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.17%19.17%19.28%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.904.865.5023.81%20.43%20.58%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +5.77%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.074%3.7%2026-04-14 17:20
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.92%E -6.95%K -56.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +5.77%E +1.05%K +1.28%G +0.074%5.9%2026-04-14 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +3.85%E +0.713%K +0.875%G +0.034%4.0%2026-04-14 17:19
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +1.92%E +0.363%K +0.448%G +0.009%3.6%2026-04-14 17:20
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.12%E -6.19%K -47.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +1.92%E +0.363%K +0.448%G +0.009%5.8%2026-04-14 17:20
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.54%E -8.52%K -79.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +1.92%E +0.363%K +0.448%G +0.009%8.2%2026-04-14 17:20
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.92%E -6.95%K -56.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +0.002%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%EV -3.08%E -2.56%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%EV -0.960%E -0.186%K -0.231%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-14 17:20
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 81.00%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.00%EV -3.27%E -0.650%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 17:20
ReBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 17:20
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 17:19
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 17:20
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 17:20
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 17:20
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 17:20
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.31%E -5.44%K -39.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 17:20
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.12%E -6.19%K -47.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.12%E -6.19%K -47.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.92%E -6.95%K -56.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 17:20
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.92%E -6.95%K -56.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.84%E -0.769%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 17:19
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -4.81%E -0.971%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 17:19
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -6.31%E -5.44%K -39.43%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -4.81%E -0.971%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 17:20
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.72%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.28%EV -5.00%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.77%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 17:19
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.77%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 17:20
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.77%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 17:19
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.77%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 17:20
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.77%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 17:20
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.50%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.50%EV -6.34%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 17:14
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.73%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 17:20
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.73%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 17:20
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.08%E -2.56%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.08%E -2.56%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -7.11%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:19
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.31%E -5.44%K -39.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.12%E -6.19%K -47.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 17:20
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.12%E -6.19%K -47.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.69%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 17:20
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.08%E -2.56%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.65%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 17:17
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.65%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 17:19
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.65%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 17:20
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.88%E -3.26%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 17:20
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.54%E -2.51%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 17:20
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.50%E -4.70%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.46%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 17:11
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.31%E -5.44%K -39.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.46%E -2.99%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 17:20
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.69%E -3.98%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -15.38%E -3.50%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 17:20
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.08%E -2.56%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -19.23%E -4.58%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 17:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-14 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-04-14 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-04-14 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-04-14 17:20
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%2.6%2026-04-14 17:20
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 81.55%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%3.0%2026-04-14 17:20