L’École des cotes

Andrey Rublev v Hamad Medjedovic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 11:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Prévision 61.69%1.62cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.808%
Kelly -2.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.44%61.64%61.65%64.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.541.6069.44%65.19%64.94%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hamad Medjedovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.31%2.61cote équitable
EV +1.13%
Avantage +0.429%
Kelly +0.691%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.38%38.36%38.35%41.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.472.482.6444.44%40.52%40.32%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV +1.13%E +0.429%K +0.691%G +0.008%5.4%2026-04-18 10:49
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV +0.750%E +0.285%K +0.460%G +0.003%7.5%2026-04-18 10:50
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +0.367%E +0.140%K +0.227%G +0.001%7.6%2026-04-18 10:49
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.016%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 10:00
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.016%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 10:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.44%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.56%EV -0.016%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.17%E -0.452%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 08:20
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.31%E -0.908%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 09:00
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.31%E -0.908%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 07:19
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.31%E -0.908%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 10:27
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.31%E -0.908%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.31%E -0.908%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 10:48
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.46%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 10:49
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 09:01
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 07:00
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 10:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 08:19
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.31%E -6.34%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 09:01
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.61%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 10:50
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:19
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:19
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:19
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
Betsson1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.76%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 09:01
NordicBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.76%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 09:01
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.76%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 09:01
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 07:20
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 02:14
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 07:20
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 09:01
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.85%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 10:30
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 08:20
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 07:20
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 07:20
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 05:10
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:00
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 10:00
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 07:19
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 08:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 10:30
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 06:15
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 08:19
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 08:19
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 08:19
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 08:20
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 08:20
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.21%E -3.89%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:01
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.21%E -3.89%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:00
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.29%E -0.808%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 13:15
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 09:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 10:00
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -1.29%E -0.808%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -13.81%E -6.14%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-18 10:50
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-04-18 11:00
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-04-18 10:50