La escuela de los momios

Andrey Rublev v Hamad Medjedovic

Inicio: 2026-04-18 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Predicción 61.69%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.808%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.44%61.64%61.65%64.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.531.541.6069.44%65.19%64.94%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante)

Predicción 38.31%2.61momio equitativo
EV +1.13%
Ventaja +0.429%
Kelly +0.691%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.38%38.36%38.35%41.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.472.482.6444.44%40.52%40.32%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -8.70%E -5.88%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV +1.13%E +0.429%K +0.691%G +0.008%5.4%2026-04-18 10:49
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV +0.750%E +0.285%K +0.460%G +0.003%7.5%2026-04-18 10:50
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +0.367%E +0.140%K +0.227%G +0.001%7.6%2026-04-18 10:49
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.016%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 10:00
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.016%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 10:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.44%EV -11.16%E -7.75%K -25.37%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.56%EV -0.016%E -0.006%K -0.010%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.17%E -0.452%K -0.738%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 08:20
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.31%E -0.908%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 09:00
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.31%E -0.908%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 07:19
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.31%E -0.908%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 10:27
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.31%E -0.908%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.31%E -0.908%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 10:48
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.46%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 10:49
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 09:01
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 10:30
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 07:00
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 10:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 08:19
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.31%E -6.34%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.23%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 09:01
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.61%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 10:50
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:19
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:19
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:19
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 07:20
Betsson1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.76%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 09:01
NordicBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.76%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 09:01
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.76%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 09:01
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 07:20
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.76%E -2.41%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 02:14
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 07:20
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 09:01
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.85%E -4.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 10:30
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 08:20
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 07:20
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.91%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 07:20
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 05:10
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:00
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.99%E -3.24%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 10:00
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 07:19
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.23%E -4.10%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 08:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 10:30
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 06:15
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.46%E -4.97%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.06%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 08:19
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 08:19
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 08:19
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 08:20
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.14%E -2.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 08:20
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.21%E -3.89%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:01
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.61%E -3.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.21%E -3.89%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:00
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.29%E -0.808%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 13:15
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 09:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.38%E -2.82%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.98%E -4.25%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 10:00
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -1.29%E -0.808%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -13.81%E -6.14%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-18 10:50
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-04-18 11:00
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-04-18 10:50