Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Whitecaps FC v St. Louis City SC

2026-09-06 02:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Local)

Prediction 66.40%1.51fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -6.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.12%66.38%66.87%68.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.391.4674.07%72.19%71.94%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis City SC (Visit)

Prediction 14.27%7.01fair odd
EV -0.103%
Edge -0.015%
Kelly -0.017%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.37%14.34%13.99%16.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.216.007.0019.23%16.10%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.33%5.17fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.348%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.34%19.28%19.14%20.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.454.754.755.1022.47%21.07%21.05%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Local): 66.40%; St. Louis City SC (Visit): 14.27%; Draw: 19.33%. For St. Louis City SC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.01. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 7.00, with an expected value of -0.103%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.54%EV -3.05%E -2.09%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.81I 14.68%NM 14.26%EV -2.81%E -0.413%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 19.20%EV -2.20%E -0.435%K -0.542%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 12:15
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.26%EV -5.71%E -4.02%K -13.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -3.36%E -0.672%K -0.840%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 12:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.58%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.55%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -12.95%E -2.12%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -7.22%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 12:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -7.04%E -5.03%K -17.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -3.67%E -0.544%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -3.36%E -0.672%K -0.840%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 12:20
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -5.03%K -17.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.37%E -2.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.02%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 12:20
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -5.03%K -17.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.37%E -2.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.02%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -5.03%K -17.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.37%E -2.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.02%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -5.03%K -17.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.37%E -2.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.02%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 12:19
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.98%EV -7.70%E -5.54%K -19.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.43%E -0.280%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 12:20
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.30%EV -7.70%E -5.54%K -19.75%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.38%EV -15.80%E -2.68%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -9.16%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 12:29
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.34%EV -8.37%E -6.06%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -17.94%E -3.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -8.19%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 12:29
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -9.03%E -6.59%K -24.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.103%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -1.43%E -0.280%K -0.348%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 12:25
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -9.70%E -7.13%K -26.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.24%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -3.36%E -0.672%K -0.840%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 12:33
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.70%E -7.13%K -26.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.24%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.19%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 12:25
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.70%E -7.13%K -26.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.24%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.19%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 12:23
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -9.70%E -7.13%K -26.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.37%E -2.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.09%E -2.41%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.62%EV -9.70%E -7.13%K -26.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -22.94%E -4.25%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -11.09%E -2.41%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.75%EV -10.36%E -7.67%K -29.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.61%EV -20.08%E -3.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.64%EV -13.99%E -3.14%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-23 12:26
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.12%EV -10.36%E -7.67%K -29.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.65%EV -25.79%E -4.96%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -13.02%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-23 12:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.65%6.9%2026-08-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-23 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-23 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-23 12:35