Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Whitecaps FC v San Jose Earthquakes

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 02:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Local)

Prediction 59.08%1.69fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.00%59.27%59.00%61.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.551.541.6671.43%64.56%64.72%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Earthquakes (Visit)

Prediction 17.85%5.60fair odd
EV -0.063%
Edge -0.011%
Kelly -0.014%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.57%17.83%17.84%20.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.305.195.255.6023.26%19.27%19.05%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.07%4.33fair odd
EV +3.83%
Edge +0.852%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.46%22.90%23.16%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.114.104.5026.32%24.32%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Local): 59.08%; San Jose Earthquakes (Visit): 17.85%; Draw: 23.07%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -9.61%E -6.28%K -18.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -15.23%E -3.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV +3.83%E +0.852%K +1.10%G +0.042%8.6%2026-03-22 02:34
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.66%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33%EV -0.063%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 22.01%EV +1.76%E +0.399%K +0.516%G +0.009%3.0%2026-03-22 02:29
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.59%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.52%EV -1.85%E -0.336%K -0.411%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV +1.53%E +0.347%K +0.449%G +0.007%3.8%2026-03-22 02:34
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -9.61%E -6.28%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.31%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV +1.53%E +0.347%K +0.449%G +0.007%7.1%2026-03-22 02:34
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.77%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -0.088%E -0.020%K -0.026%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 02:34
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.85%E -0.336%K -0.411%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -0.780%E -0.181%K -0.236%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 02:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -14.34%E -2.99%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -0.780%E -0.181%K -0.236%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 02:31
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.18%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -12.56%E -2.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -0.780%E -0.181%K -0.236%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 02:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -11.38%E -7.59%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -0.063%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -0.780%E -0.181%K -0.236%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 02:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -11.38%E -7.59%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -0.063%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -0.780%E -0.181%K -0.236%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 02:35
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -11.38%E -7.59%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -0.063%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -0.780%E -0.181%K -0.236%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 02:34
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -11.38%E -7.59%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -0.063%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -0.780%E -0.181%K -0.236%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 02:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -11.38%E -7.59%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -0.063%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -0.780%E -0.181%K -0.236%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 02:35
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -11.38%E -7.59%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -0.063%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -0.780%E -0.181%K -0.236%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 02:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -11.38%E -7.59%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -0.063%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -0.780%E -0.181%K -0.236%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 02:34
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -9.02%E -5.86%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.19%EV -8.99%E -1.76%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.57%EV -0.780%E -0.181%K -0.236%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 02:34
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.46%EV -2.52%E -1.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.62%EV -7.56%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.91%EV -2.86%E -0.679%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 02:30
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.61%E -6.28%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -0.063%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.965%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 02:27
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -10.20%E -6.71%K -19.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -7.20%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.965%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 02:35
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -7.84%E -5.02%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -15.23%E -3.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.965%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 02:29
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.61%E -6.28%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.77%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -3.09%E -0.735%K -0.965%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 02:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.44%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.35%EV -0.956%E -0.172%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.20%EV -4.24%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 02:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.44%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.35%EV -0.956%E -0.172%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.20%EV -4.24%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 02:34
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.01%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.31%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.89%EV -4.24%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 02:29
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.45%EV -10.79%E -7.15%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -7.20%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.00%EV -4.24%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 02:35
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.05%EV -4.88%E -3.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.77%EV -4.52%E -0.846%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.40%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 02:27
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.84%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.24%EV -2.74%E -0.503%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.40%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 02:34
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.31%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.40%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 02:35
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.31%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.40%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 02:30
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -11.38%E -7.59%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -3.63%E -0.673%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.40%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 02:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -11.38%E -7.59%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -3.63%E -0.673%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.40%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 02:34
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -11.38%E -7.59%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -3.63%E -0.673%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.40%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 02:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -11.38%E -7.59%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -3.63%E -0.673%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.40%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 02:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -11.38%E -7.59%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -3.63%E -0.673%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.40%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 02:35
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -11.38%E -7.59%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -3.63%E -0.673%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.40%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 02:34
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.11%EV -1.93%E -1.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.13%EV -5.06%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.76%EV -6.32%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 02:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.70%E -2.27%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -6.31%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 02:29
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -4.29%E -2.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.31%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 02:35
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -6.06%E -3.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -1.85%E -0.336%K -0.411%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 02:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -7.84%E -5.02%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -1.85%E -0.336%K -0.411%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 02:29
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.77%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 02:34
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -1.85%E -0.336%K -0.411%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 02:34
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.77%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 02:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.62%EV -9.02%E -5.86%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -14.34%E -2.99%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 02:34
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -12.56%E -8.49%K -26.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -6.31%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 02:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.61%E -6.28%K -18.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.91%E -3.89%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 02:35
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.61%E -6.28%K -18.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.91%E -3.89%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -7.70%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 02:34
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -3.63%E -0.673%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.86%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 02:34
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.65%E -4.21%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -3.63%E -0.673%K -0.826%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.86%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 02:34
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -5.47%E -3.42%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.31%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 02:29
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.77%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 02:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.25%EV -11.97%E -8.03%K -24.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.50%EV -20.59%E -4.63%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.25%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-22 02:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.96%EV -10.20%E -6.71%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.15%EV -17.91%E -3.89%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.88%EV -11.16%E -2.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 02:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.20%EV -10.20%E -6.71%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.22%EV -23.26%E -5.41%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.58%EV -11.16%E -2.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 02:32
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -17.91%E -3.89%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.32%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 02:29
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -17.91%E -3.89%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.32%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 02:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.36%EV -10.20%E -6.71%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.29%EV -13.45%E -2.77%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.32%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 02:33
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.29%EV -17.29%E -12.35%K -43.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 18.87%EV -21.48%E -4.88%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.84%EV -12.32%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-22 02:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.06%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%2.1%2026-03-22 02:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.06%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%2.1%2026-03-22 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.06%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%2.1%2026-03-22 02:35
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%3.1%2026-03-22 02:35
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.8%2026-03-22 02:34
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 59.98%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.15%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.87%4.9%2026-03-22 02:35