Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Whitecaps FC v Real Salt Lake

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Local)

Prediction 71.75%1.39fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -8.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.63%71.56%71.76%72.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.301.301.3585.47%76.80%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Salt Lake (Visit)

Prediction 11.40%8.77fair odd
EV +5.99%
Edge +0.644%
Kelly +0.721%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 9.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.18%11.44%11.45%13.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.208.509.3015.38%12.20%11.76%10.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.85%5.93fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.213%
Kelly +0.255%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 6.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.62%17.00%16.78%19.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.355.306.0122.22%18.68%18.87%16.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Local): 71.75%; Real Salt Lake (Visit): 11.40%; Draw: 16.85%. For Real Salt Lake (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.77. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.28%EV -6.01%E -4.58%K -19.37%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV +5.99%E +0.644%K +0.721%G +0.043%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -9.00%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 00:05
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.28%EV -6.01%E -4.58%K -19.37%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV +5.99%E +0.644%K +0.721%G +0.043%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -9.00%E -1.67%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.19%EV -3.14%E -2.32%K -8.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.68%EV +2.57%E +0.285%K +0.321%G +0.008%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -10.69%E -2.02%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 00:25
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.19%EV -3.14%E -2.32%K -8.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.68%EV +2.57%E +0.285%K +0.321%G +0.008%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -10.69%E -2.02%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.19%EV -3.14%E -2.32%K -8.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.68%EV +2.57%E +0.285%K +0.321%G +0.008%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -10.69%E -2.02%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.19%EV -3.14%E -2.32%K -8.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.68%EV +2.57%E +0.285%K +0.321%G +0.008%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -10.69%E -2.02%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 00:25
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -6.72%E -5.17%K -22.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +2.57%E +0.285%K +0.321%G +0.008%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -7.31%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 00:05
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +2.57%E +0.285%K +0.321%G +0.008%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -7.31%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:05
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.94%EV -4.57%E -3.44%K -13.85%G +0.000%8.88I 11.26%NM 10.92%EV +1.20%E +0.135%K +0.152%G +0.002%6.01I 16.64%NM 16.14%EV +1.28%E +0.213%K +0.255%G +0.003%3.1%2026-02-22 00:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.67%EV -8.16%E -6.37%K -29.14%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.57%EV +0.289%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.76%EV -6.47%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 00:25
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.47%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.67I 11.53%NM 11.03%EV -1.19%E -0.138%K -0.155%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.49%EV -2.26%E -0.390%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 00:20
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.58I 11.66%NM 11.09%EV -2.22%E -0.259%K -0.293%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.81%EV -4.62%E -0.816%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -12.37%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -12.37%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -12.37%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:25
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -12.37%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -12.37%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:25
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -12.37%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:25
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -12.37%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:24
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -12.37%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:25
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -12.37%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:25
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.72%E -5.17%K -22.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.31%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 00:15
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.72%E -5.17%K -22.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.31%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.31%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 00:05
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.72%E -5.17%K -22.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -11.53%E -2.20%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 00:05
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.72%E -5.17%K -22.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.74%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 00:20
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.06%E -2.76%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -8.16%E -6.37%K -29.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -3.13%E -0.368%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -15.74%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.07%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV -5.98%E -0.725%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.40%EV -2.26%E -0.390%K -0.471%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.07%EV -5.29%E -4.01%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV -5.98%E -0.725%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.40%EV -2.26%E -0.390%K -0.471%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 00:05
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.80%EV -6.01%E -4.58%K -19.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -5.98%E -0.725%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -5.63%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 00:15
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.80%EV -6.01%E -4.58%K -19.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -5.98%E -0.725%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -5.63%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 00:15
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.80%EV -6.01%E -4.58%K -19.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.40%EV -5.98%E -0.725%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -5.63%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 00:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -6.01%E -4.58%K -19.37%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.62%EV -7.69%E -0.949%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.52%EV -3.94%E -0.692%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 00:15
Fliff🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.52%EV -8.16%E -6.37%K -29.14%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.37%EV -8.26%E -1.03%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.11%EV -9.84%E -1.84%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -6.01%E -4.58%K -19.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -8.83%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -3.10%E -0.539%K -0.653%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -6.01%E -4.58%K -19.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -8.83%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -3.10%E -0.539%K -0.653%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 00:10
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -8.83%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +1.11%E +0.185%K +0.222%G +0.002%6.7%2026-02-22 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -8.83%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -2.26%E -0.390%K -0.471%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 00:05
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.72%E -5.17%K -22.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -8.83%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.31%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 00:15
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.72%E -5.17%K -22.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.83%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.74%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 00:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.72%E -5.17%K -22.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.83%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.74%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 00:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.72%E -5.17%K -22.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.83%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.74%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -10.31%E -8.25%K -41.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -8.83%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -24.17%E -5.37%K -6.90%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-22 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.72%E -5.17%K -22.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -14.53%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -7.31%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 00:05
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -14.53%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -15.74%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-21 23:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 71.94%EV -16.05%E -13.72%K -94.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.22%EV -14.53%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -15.74%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%18.8%2026-02-22 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.69%EV -7.44%E -5.77%K -25.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -5.63%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.72%E -5.17%K -22.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.53%E -2.20%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 00:15
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.72%E -5.17%K -22.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.53%E -2.20%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.72%E -5.17%K -22.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.53%E -2.20%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 00:15
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.72%E -5.17%K -22.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.53%E -2.20%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.75%EV -10.31%E -8.25%K -41.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.46%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.79%EV -17.43%E -3.56%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-22 00:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 69.67%EV -11.03%E -8.89%K -45.95%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.52%EV -21.36%E -3.10%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.81%EV -18.27%E -3.77%K -4.75%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-22 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 69.63%EV -9.59%E -7.61%K -36.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -25.92%E -3.99%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.87%EV -12.37%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-22 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.07%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.8%2026-02-22 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.07%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.8%2026-02-22 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.07%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.8%2026-02-22 00:05
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 74.07%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.8%2026-02-22 00:05
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 73.67%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.00%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%2.1%2026-02-22 00:15
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 70.81%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%6.2%2026-02-22 00:10