Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Whitecaps FC v Houston Dynamo

2026-08-20 02:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Local)

Prediction 64.43%1.55fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -8.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.15%64.30%64.43%65.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.57%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Dynamo (Visit)

Prediction 15.57%6.42fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.430%
Kelly -0.512%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.23%15.73%15.57%17.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.615.506.2520.00%17.82%18.18%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.00%5.00fair odd
EV +2.18%
Edge +0.427%
Kelly +0.531%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 5.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.94%19.97%20.00%21.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.574.605.1124.39%21.88%21.74%19.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Local): 64.43%; Houston Dynamo (Visit): 15.57%; Draw: 20.00%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.00. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.11, producing a positive expected value of +2.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.96%EV -3.99%E -2.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 16.10%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.94%EV +2.18%E +0.427%K +0.531%G +0.012%3.3%2026-08-02 12:59
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.88%EV -5.93%E -4.06%K -12.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -6.58%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -2.02%E -0.411%K -0.517%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:20
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.08%EV -8.50%E -5.99%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.66%EV -8.14%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -4.02%E -0.837%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 11:20
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -5.28%E -3.59%K -11.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV -2.69%E -0.430%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.02%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:25
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -14.37%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.02%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 11:23
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -4.64%E -3.13%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -6.58%E -1.10%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 12:59
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -14.37%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 12:54
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -14.37%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 12:55
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -14.37%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 12:55
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -14.37%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 12:55
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.87%EV -5.93%E -4.06%K -12.89%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -5.80%E -0.959%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -10.01%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 11:55
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.89%EV -9.79%E -7.00%K -24.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.77%EV -18.26%E -3.48%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -13.41%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-02 11:25
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 62.63%EV -7.22%E -5.01%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -14.37%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -14.01%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 13:05
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.33%EV -9.15%E -6.49%K -22.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -20.59%E -4.04%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44%EV -14.01%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 13:04
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.15%EV -10.44%E -7.51%K -26.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -22.15%E -4.43%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.57%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-02 13:04
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 62.52%EV -11.08%E -8.03%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.43%EV -18.26%E -3.48%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.04%EV -18.01%E -4.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 13:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:25