Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Whitecaps FC v Austin FC

2026-09-13 22:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Local)

Prediction 75.62%1.32fair odd
EV -4.72%
Edge -3.74%
Kelly -18.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.61%75.62%75.62%76.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.231.241.2684.03%81.14%80.65%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austin FC (Visit)

Prediction 9.38%10.66fair odd
EV +3.15%
Edge +0.286%
Kelly +0.315%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.75%9.38%9.38%9.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.009.9410.0011.0011.11%10.06%10.00%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.00%6.67fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.382%
Kelly -0.451%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.82%15.00%15.00%15.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.156.256.5017.39%16.26%16.00%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Local): 75.62%; Austin FC (Visit): 9.38%; Draw: 15.00%. For Austin FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.66. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 11.00, producing a positive expected value of +3.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.43%EV -4.72%E -3.74%K -18.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV +3.15%E +0.286%K +0.315%G +0.010%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV -2.48%E -0.382%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.43%EV -4.72%E -3.74%K -18.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV +3.15%E +0.286%K +0.315%G +0.010%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV -2.48%E -0.382%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.43%EV -4.72%E -3.74%K -18.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV +3.15%E +0.286%K +0.315%G +0.010%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV -2.48%E -0.382%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 23:00
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -6.23%E -5.03%K -25.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -6.23%E -0.623%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -6.23%E -5.03%K -25.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -6.23%E -0.623%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -6.23%E -5.03%K -25.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -6.23%E -0.623%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -6.23%E -5.03%K -25.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -6.23%E -0.623%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 23:00
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -6.23%E -5.03%K -25.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -6.23%E -0.623%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 23:00
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -6.23%E -5.03%K -25.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -6.23%E -0.623%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -6.23%E -5.03%K -25.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -6.23%E -0.623%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -6.23%E -5.03%K -25.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -6.23%E -0.623%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -7.74%E -6.35%K -35.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -10.92%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -12.98%E -2.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -7.74%E -6.35%K -35.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -10.92%E -1.15%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -12.98%E -2.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.61%EV -9.26%E -7.71%K -46.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -15.61%E -1.73%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -12.98%E -2.24%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.67%EV -10.01%E -8.41%K -52.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -15.61%E -1.73%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.45%EV -13.73%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.67%EV -10.01%E -8.41%K -52.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -15.61%E -1.73%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.45%EV -13.73%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 60.61%9.09I 11.00%NM 8.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 31.05%32.0%2026-09-04 02:25