Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto FC v San Jose Earthquakes

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 17:00 UTC

Final: Toronto FC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto FC (Local)

Prediction 24.98%4.00fair odd
EV -0.087%
Edge -0.022%
Kelly -0.029%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.70%25.05%24.95%26.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.723.754.0029.85%26.88%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Earthquakes (Visit)

Prediction 50.36%1.99fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.920%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%50.28%50.38%51.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.841.851.9558.14%54.29%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.66%4.06fair odd
EV -0.869%
Edge -0.216%
Kelly -0.288%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.66%24.67%24.67%26.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.773.804.0230.77%26.51%26.32%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto FC (Local): 24.98%; San Jose Earthquakes (Visit): 50.36%; Draw: 24.66%. For Toronto FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.003. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.000, with an expected value of -0.087%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -0.087%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -8.76%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.63%EV -2.09%E -0.532%K -0.714%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.35%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV -0.869%E -0.216%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.63%EV -2.09%E -0.532%K -0.714%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.35%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV -0.869%E -0.216%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 16:35
BetAnything🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.63%EV -2.09%E -0.532%K -0.714%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.35%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV -0.869%E -0.216%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 16:35
GTbets🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.42%EV -2.09%E -0.532%K -0.714%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.93%EV -5.31%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 16:20
Pinnacle🎯3.91I 25.58%NM 24.69%EV -2.33%E -0.597%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.81%EV -4.31%E -2.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.50%EV -2.84%E -0.721%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -2.58%E -0.663%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.07%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -2.60%E -0.657%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 16:40
LeoVegas🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -2.58%E -0.663%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.07%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -2.60%E -0.657%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -2.58%E -0.663%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.07%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -2.60%E -0.657%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 16:41
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -2.58%E -0.663%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.07%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -2.60%E -0.657%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 16:40
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -3.83%E -0.996%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -5.06%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:19
1xBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.51%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.70%EV -1.79%E -0.920%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.79%EV -3.58%E -0.916%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 16:50
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.81%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -6.29%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.29%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 16:50
theScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -3.83%E -0.982%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:35
BetUS🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.33%E -3.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.29%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.33%E -3.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.29%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:55
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.06%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:40
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.06%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:45
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.06%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.06%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.06%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:40
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.06%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:40
Bally Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.06%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:40
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.06%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:40
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.35%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.29%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:40
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -10.86%E -6.13%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.29%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 16:35
MyBookie.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.06%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 16:39
Everygame🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -5.06%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 16:19
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -9.35%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.29%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:45
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -11.87%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 16:41
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.79%E -0.920%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -8.76%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 16:35
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.79%E -0.920%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -8.76%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.83%E -0.982%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 16:20
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -6.29%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:50
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.29%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.76%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 16:55
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 16:35
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -10.36%E -5.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.93%EV -10.86%E -6.13%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -8.76%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 16:41
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.93%EV -10.86%E -6.13%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -8.76%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 16:40
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -3.81%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 16:44
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -4.31%E -2.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.76%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 16:35
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 16:45
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.99%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 16:35
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 16:20
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.84%E -4.28%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 16:20
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.87%E -6.78%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -6.29%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -8.84%E -4.89%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.69%E -3.91%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.74%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -13.38%E -7.78%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.20%EV -10.49%E -2.89%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -8.34%E -4.58%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -6.29%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.35%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 16:15
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.35%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 16:15
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.35%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.35%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.23%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.39%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.34%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -19.86%E -6.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-02 16:25
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.35%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -7.53%E -2.01%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -16.32%E -4.87%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.81%EV -11.36%E -6.46%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -9.99%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 24.23%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.55%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.23%-1.0%2026-05-02 16:50
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87%0.5%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-05-02 16:54
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.7%2026-05-02 16:55