The School of Odds
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Toronto FC v Charlotte FC

2026-08-19 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto FC (Local)

Prediction 39.85%2.51fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.33%39.98%39.85%41.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.272.252.4048.08%44.12%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte FC (Visit)

Prediction 34.74%2.88fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.10%34.61%34.74%35.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.622.7840.00%37.72%38.17%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.41%3.94fair odd
EV +1.89%
Edge +0.472%
Kelly +0.629%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 4.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.19%25.41%25.41%26.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.373.643.704.0129.67%27.45%27.03%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toronto FC (Local): 39.85%; Charlotte FC (Visit): 34.74%; Draw: 25.41%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.01, producing a positive expected value of +1.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.92%EV -5.54%E -2.34%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.44%E -1.24%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.19%EV +1.89%E +0.472%K +0.629%G +0.012%3.1%2026-08-02 12:04
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -6.34%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -3.44%E -0.906%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:25
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -4.48%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -4.71%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 11:25
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 11:24
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.34%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.21%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 12:25
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -8.33%E -3.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.12%EV -8.99%E -3.43%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 11:23
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -8.99%E -3.43%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 12:54
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -8.99%E -3.43%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 12:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -8.99%E -3.43%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -8.99%E -3.43%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 12:55
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -6.34%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -9.54%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 11:40
ReBet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -11.12%E -4.99%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 33.57%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.79%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 11:25
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -12.32%E -5.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -7.95%E -3.00%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -9.79%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 11:29
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -13.16%E -5.26%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 11:25
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -14.31%E -6.66%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -9.69%E -3.73%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 11:25
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.11%EV -16.31%E -7.76%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.86%EV -11.43%E -4.48%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.03%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-02 11:24
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 41.37%EV -17.10%E -8.22%K -15.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.10%EV -9.69%E -3.73%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 25.53%EV -14.37%E -4.26%K -6.06%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-02 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:29