The School of Odds

St. Louis City SC v Sporting Kansas City

2026-07-17 00:30 — MLS

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: St. Louis City SC (Local)

1.2977.52%Min
1.3573.95%Mean
1.3673.53%Median
1.4270.42%Max
65.55%1.526Min
69.56%1.438Max
67.53%1.481Mean
67.15%1.489Median
67.38%1.484IQM
67.62%1.479Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.42 under the IQM model: 67.38%

EV -4.31%Edge -3.04%Kelly -10.27%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Sporting Kansas City (Visit)

5.4018.52%Min
6.4815.44%Mean
6.5015.38%Median
7.4513.42%Max
13.02%7.682Min
15.66%6.386Max
13.87%7.209Mean
14.00%7.142Median
13.76%7.265IQM
13.80%7.248Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 7.45 under the IQM model: 13.76%

EV +2.54%Edge +0.341%Kelly +0.394%Growth +0.010%

Option 3: Draw

4.5022.22%Min
4.9120.36%Mean
4.9020.41%Median
5.3018.87%Max
17.32%5.772Min
19.14%5.223Max
18.60%5.377Mean
18.85%5.306Median
18.85%5.304IQM
18.58%5.381Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.30 under the IQM model: 18.85%

EV -0.083%Edge -0.016%Kelly -0.019%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSt. Louis City SC (Local)Sporting Kansas City (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.42I 70.42% NM 68.30%EV -4.31% E -3.04% K -10.27% G +0.000%7.45I 13.42% NM 13.02%EV +2.54% E +0.341% K +0.394% G +0.010%5.19I 19.27% NM 18.69%EV -2.16% E -0.416% K -0.515% G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-04 00:15
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99% NM 68.04%EV -7.68% E -5.61% K -20.77% G +0.000%7.10I 14.08% NM 13.13%EV -2.28% E -0.321% K -0.373% G +0.000%4.95I 20.20% NM 18.83%EV -6.68% E -1.35% K -1.69% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 00:10
SportsBet1.37I 72.99% NM 68.77%EV -7.68% E -5.61% K -20.77% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.46%EV -3.65% E -0.522% K -0.609% G +0.000%5.30I 18.87% NM 17.78%EV -0.083% E -0.016% K -0.019% G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:09
FanDuel1.32I 75.76% NM 69.56%EV -11.05% E -8.37% K -34.54% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.12%EV -3.65% E -0.522% K -0.609% G +0.000%5.30I 18.87% NM 17.32%EV -0.083% E -0.016% K -0.019% G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 15:10
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46% NM 68.15%EV -7.01% E -5.08% K -18.45% G +0.000%6.75I 14.81% NM 13.93%EV -7.09% E -1.05% K -1.23% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.91%EV -1.03% E -0.195% K -0.241% G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99% NM 67.10%EV -7.68% E -5.61% K -20.77% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.14%EV -10.53% E -1.62% K -1.92% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 18.76%EV -7.62% E -1.56% K -1.95% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 19:50
ReBet1.35I 74.07% NM 67.42%EV -9.03% E -6.69% K -25.81% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.00%EV -10.53% E -1.62% K -1.92% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 18.58%EV -7.62% E -1.56% K -1.95% G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 22:09
William Hill1.36I 73.53% NM 66.87%EV -8.36% E -6.15% K -23.22% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 13.99%EV -10.53% E -1.62% K -1.92% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.14%EV -10.45% E -2.20% K -2.79% G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 18:29
888sport1.36I 73.53% NM 66.87%EV -8.36% E -6.15% K -23.22% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 13.99%EV -10.53% E -1.62% K -1.92% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.14%EV -10.45% E -2.20% K -2.79% G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 18:29
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53% NM 66.87%EV -8.36% E -6.15% K -23.22% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 13.99%EV -10.53% E -1.62% K -1.92% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.14%EV -10.45% E -2.20% K -2.79% G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 18:29
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53% NM 66.87%EV -8.36% E -6.15% K -23.22% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 13.99%EV -10.53% E -1.62% K -1.92% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.14%EV -10.45% E -2.20% K -2.79% G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 18:29
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19% NM 68.00%EV -10.38% E -7.80% K -31.45% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 13.91%EV -10.53% E -1.62% K -1.92% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.09%EV -5.74% E -1.15% K -1.43% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 20:49
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07% NM 66.97%EV -9.03% E -6.69% K -25.81% G +0.000%6.20I 16.13% NM 14.58%EV -14.66% E -2.37% K -2.82% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 18.45%EV -7.62% E -1.56% K -1.95% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-05 14:04
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53% NM 66.09%EV -8.36% E -6.15% K -23.22% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 14.98%EV -17.42% E -2.90% K -3.48% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 18.92%EV -10.45% E -2.20% K -2.79% G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-01 00:29
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19% NM 66.59%EV -10.38% E -7.80% K -31.45% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 14.76%EV -17.42% E -2.90% K -3.48% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 18.65%EV -10.45% E -2.20% K -2.79% G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-30 17:19
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92% NM 66.56%EV -12.40% E -9.54% K -41.34% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 14.42%EV -17.42% E -2.90% K -3.48% G +0.000%4.55I 21.98% NM 19.02%EV -14.22% E -3.13% K -4.01% G +0.000%15.6%2026-06-30 23:18
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34% NM 66.55%EV -11.73% E -8.95% K -37.83% G +0.000%5.70I 17.54% NM 15.29%EV -21.55% E -3.78% K -4.58% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 18.16%EV -9.51% E -1.98% K -2.50% G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-30 22:09
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52% NM 65.55%EV -13.07% E -10.14% K -45.09% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 15.66%EV -25.68% E -4.75% K -5.84% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 18.79%EV -15.16% E -3.37% K -4.33% G +0.000%18.3%2026-06-30 22:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerSt. Louis City SC (Local)Sporting Kansas City (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%5.80I 17.24%4.40I 22.73%16.9%2026-06-30 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-06-30 15:20