Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis City SC v San Diego FC

2026-10-31 19:00 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis City SC (Local)

Prediction 58.17%1.72fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -6.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.64%58.17%58.17%58.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.601.601.6566.23%62.60%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego FC (Visit)

Prediction 20.68%4.84fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.371%
Kelly -0.470%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.36%20.68%20.68%20.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.494.504.7523.81%22.27%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.15%4.73fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -0.588%
Kelly -0.751%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.85%21.15%21.15%21.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.394.404.6024.39%22.79%22.73%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: St. Louis City SC (Local): 58.17%; San Diego FC (Visit): 20.68%; Draw: 21.15%. For San Diego FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.75, with an expected value of -1.76%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.61%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.36%EV -1.76%E -0.371%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02%EV -2.70%E -0.588%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.61%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.36%EV -1.76%E -0.371%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02%EV -2.70%E -0.588%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 19:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.61%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.36%EV -1.76%E -0.371%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.02%EV -2.70%E -0.588%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 19:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.35%E -3.94%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 19:50
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.93%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.93%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 19:50
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.93%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.93%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.93%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 19:50
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.93%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 19:50
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.93%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -8.10%E -5.12%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -9.00%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -9.05%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.10%E -5.12%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%EV -10.04%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 19:50
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.79%EV -8.68%E -5.53%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.86%EV -10.04%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 19:50
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.66%EV -9.26%E -5.94%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -11.07%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -11.16%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 57.88%EV -12.17%E -8.06%K -23.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.81%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-24 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.03%8.9%2026-10-24 22:55