Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis City SC v Minnesota United FC

2026-09-13 00:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis City SC (Local)

Prediction 47.35%2.11fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -4.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.76%47.35%47.35%47.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.961.972.0252.91%50.94%50.76%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota United FC (Visit)

Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%27.44%27.44%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.373.403.5031.25%29.68%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.21%3.97fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -0.762%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.96%25.21%25.21%25.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.673.703.8528.99%27.26%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: St. Louis City SC (Local): 47.35%; Minnesota United FC (Visit): 27.44%; Draw: 25.21%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.85, with an expected value of -2.93%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.58%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -2.93%E -0.762%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 01:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.58%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -2.93%E -0.762%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 01:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.58%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -2.93%E -0.762%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 01:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.46%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 01:45
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 01:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 01:30
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 01:30
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 01:29
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 01:30
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 01:29
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -8.14%E -4.19%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 01:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -8.61%E -4.46%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 01:30
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.56%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.76%EV -10.50%E -5.56%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -13.02%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.76%EV -10.50%E -5.56%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -13.02%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 01:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 45.33%2.33I 42.92%NM 28.99%2.63I 38.02%NM 25.68%48.1%2026-09-03 07:15