The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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St. Louis City SC v LA Galaxy

2026-10-11 23:00 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis City SC (Local)

Prediction 61.12%1.64fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -3.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.91%61.08%60.97%62.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.501.511.6071.43%66.80%66.23%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LA Galaxy (Visit)

Prediction 18.05%5.54fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.438%
Kelly -0.537%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.47%18.02%18.13%18.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.035.005.4121.74%19.90%20.00%18.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.83%4.80fair odd
EV +2.09%
Edge +0.426%
Kelly +0.535%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.42%20.90%20.90%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.984.314.254.9025.13%23.18%23.53%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: St. Louis City SC (Local): 61.12%; LA Galaxy (Visit): 18.05%; Draw: 20.83%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.80. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.90, producing a positive expected value of +2.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.62%EV -7.10%E -4.67%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.35%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV +2.09%E +0.426%K +0.535%G +0.011%5.1%2026-09-21 07:25
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.99%EV -9.54%E -6.45%K -19.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.35%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 07:25
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.98%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -1.04%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-21 07:44
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -1.04%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-21 07:23
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.10%E -4.67%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -2.08%E -0.442%K -0.562%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 07:44
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.50%EV -2.21%E -1.38%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.89%EV -2.37%E -0.438%K -0.537%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.61%EV -6.66%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-21 08:39
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -11.99%E -8.33%K -27.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -14.28%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -9.79%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-21 07:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.45%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.90%EV -6.16%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -10.41%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-21 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.97%EV -7.10%E -4.67%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -4.35%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -10.41%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 07:23
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.74%EV -9.54%E -6.45%K -19.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -11.57%E -2.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -10.41%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-21 07:24
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -7.96%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -12.50%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-21 07:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.30%EV -10.77%E -7.37%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -15.18%E -3.23%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -12.50%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-21 07:24
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -11.99%E -8.33%K -27.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -14.28%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -12.50%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-21 07:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.09%EV -11.99%E -8.33%K -27.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.81%EV -16.99%E -3.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.10%EV -14.58%E -3.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-21 07:24
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -16.66%E -4.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-21 07:44
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -16.66%E -4.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-21 07:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -16.66%E -4.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-21 07:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -16.66%E -4.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-21 07:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.14%EV -14.43%E -10.31%K -36.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.47%EV -11.57%E -2.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.40%EV -16.66%E -4.17%K -5.55%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-21 07:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.34%EV -12.60%E -8.81%K -29.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.98%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 21.68%EV -17.08%E -4.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-21 07:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.