Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sporting Kansas City v Minnesota United FC

Kickoff: 2026-07-23 00:30 UTC

Final: Sporting Kansas City 2–1 Minnesota United FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sporting Kansas City (Local)

Prediction 31.52%3.17fair odd
EV +11.57%
Edge +3.27%
Kelly +4.56%
Growth +0.527%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.41%31.29%31.62%32.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.033.003.5436.36%33.04%33.33%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota United FC (Visit)

Prediction 43.30%2.31fair odd
EV -0.842%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.653%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.56%43.52%43.19%48.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.122.112.2951.55%47.24%47.39%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.18%3.97fair odd
EV -0.531%
Edge -0.134%
Kelly -0.180%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.19%25.19%26.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.703.703.9528.57%27.06%27.03%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sporting Kansas City (Local): 31.52%; Minnesota United FC (Visit): 43.30%; Draw: 25.18%. For Sporting Kansas City (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.54I 28.25%NM 27.41%EV +11.57%E +3.27%K +4.56%G +0.527%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%EV -12.53%E -6.20%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%EV -0.531%E -0.134%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-21 18:25
Marathon Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV +7.16%E +2.11%K +2.98%G +0.214%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -16.00%E -8.25%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.31%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV +4.01%E +1.21%K +1.74%G +0.070%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.83%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -3.05%E -0.792%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 00:04
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV +4.01%E +1.21%K +1.74%G +0.070%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.83%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -3.05%E -0.792%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 00:14
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV +4.01%E +1.21%K +1.74%G +0.070%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.83%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -3.05%E -0.792%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 00:14
GTbets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV +4.01%E +1.21%K +1.74%G +0.070%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.98%EV -9.50%E -4.55%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -2.80%E -0.725%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-23 00:00
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV +0.857%E +0.268%K +0.389%G +0.003%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.57%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV +0.857%E +0.268%K +0.389%G +0.003%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.57%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 00:04
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV +0.857%E +0.268%K +0.389%G +0.003%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.57%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV +0.857%E +0.268%K +0.389%G +0.003%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.57%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 00:05
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV +0.857%E +0.268%K +0.389%G +0.003%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.57%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 00:04
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV +0.857%E +0.268%K +0.389%G +0.003%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.57%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 00:14
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV +0.857%E +0.268%K +0.389%G +0.003%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.57%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 00:14
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV +0.857%E +0.268%K +0.389%G +0.003%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.57%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 00:14
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV +0.857%E +0.268%K +0.389%G +0.003%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.84%EV -11.67%E -5.72%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.57%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 00:04
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -0.719%E -0.228%K -0.335%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -12.53%E -6.20%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 00:04
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -2.30%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-22 23:58
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.30%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 23:59
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -2.30%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.97%EV -14.70%E -7.46%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-23 00:04
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -2.30%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.81%EV -14.70%E -7.46%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-23 00:04
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -2.30%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.81%EV -14.70%E -7.46%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-23 00:04
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -3.87%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.61%E -2.57%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -3.87%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.61%E -2.57%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 00:14
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.31%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 00:04
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.31%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 00:14
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.31%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 00:03
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.31%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 00:00
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.73%EV -6.04%E -2.78%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -3.05%E -0.792%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 00:15
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.31%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 00:14
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 00:14
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 00:15
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.57%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 23:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 00:00
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 23:59
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -8.20%E -3.87%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-23 00:04
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 00:05
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 23:59
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.57%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 23:59
MyBookie.ag2.99I 33.44%NM 31.51%EV -5.76%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.02%EV -5.17%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 00:14
Pinnacle2.98I 33.56%NM 32.45%EV -6.08%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.23%EV -0.842%E -0.368%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.32%EV -3.80%E -0.996%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-23 00:14
BetOnline.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -7.02%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.58%EV -1.71%E -0.753%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.66%EV -1.29%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-23 00:14
LowVig.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -7.02%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.58%EV -1.71%E -0.753%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.66%EV -1.29%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-23 00:15
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -7.02%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.58%EV -1.71%E -0.753%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.66%EV -1.29%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-23 00:14
Caesars2.94I 34.01%NM 31.69%EV -7.34%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.13%EV -6.47%E -3.00%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 00:13
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.16%EV -3.44%E -1.54%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 00:14
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.57%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-23 00:14
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 00:14
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-23 00:00
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 23:59
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.40%E -6.70%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-23 00:04
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.57%E -1.14%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 00:14
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 00:15
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 00:14
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-23 00:04
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.24%EV -10.37%E -5.01%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.36%EV -11.11%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-23 00:03
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.38%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-23 00:04
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-23 00:04
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-23 00:04
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-23 00:14
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.34%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-23 00:14
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.09%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-23 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%0.3%2026-07-23 00:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%0.3%2026-07-23 00:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-07-23 00:05
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-07-23 00:05
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-07-23 00:05
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-07-23 00:14