The School of Odds

Sporting Kansas City v Minnesota United FC

2026-07-23 00:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sporting Kansas City (Local)

Prediction 27.59%3.62fair odd
EV -0.390%
Edge -0.108%
Kelly -0.150%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.84%27.49%27.59%28.60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.323.6133%30%30%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Minnesota United FC (Visit)

Prediction 48.12%2.08fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.19%47.99%48.12%48.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.761.911.952.0057%52%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.28%4.12fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.715%
Kelly -0.953%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.77%24.52%24.28%25.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.743.704.0029%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.61I 27.70%NM 26.84%EV -0.390%E -0.108%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.44%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.72%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-12 08:44
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 12:45
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.07%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 12:44
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -5.20%E -2.64%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -2.86%E -0.715%K -0.953%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 08:34
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 08:35
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 08:54
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 08:54
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 08:54
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 08:54
ReBet3.32I 30.12%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -9.05%E -4.79%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -10.15%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 08:34
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 08:34
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.09%E -4.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.72%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 08:34
betano_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.09%E -4.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 10:20
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.09%E -4.23%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 10:17
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -10.32%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -9.53%E -5.07%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -10.15%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 09:04
Betclic (FR)3.17I 31.55%NM 27.18%EV -12.53%E -3.95%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.41%EV -14.34%E -8.06%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.41%EV -14.27%E -4.04%K -5.64%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-12 08:34
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.46%E -4.67%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -10.97%E -5.93%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.57%E -3.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-12 08:34
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -14.46%E -4.67%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.94%EV -12.42%E -6.82%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.91%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-12 08:34
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.08%EV -17.22%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 47.86%EV -15.30%E -8.70%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.07%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-12 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.