L’École des cotes

Sporting Kansas City v Houston Dynamo

2026-08-02 00:30 UTC — MLS

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sporting Kansas City (Local)

Prévision 28.99%3.45cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.339%
Kelly -0.480%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.27%29.09%28.78%30.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.133.113.4135.71%31.92%32.15%29.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Dynamo (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.26%2.26cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.62%44.34%44.20%46.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.082.102.2052.63%48.05%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.75%3.74cote équitable
EV +1.66%
Avantage +0.436%
Kelly +0.592%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.27%26.57%27.02%28.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.493.483.8030.77%28.65%28.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV +1.66%E +0.436%K +0.592%G +0.010%6.2%2026-07-26 04:08
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV +1.66%E +0.436%K +0.592%G +0.010%6.2%2026-07-26 04:10
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV +1.66%E +0.436%K +0.592%G +0.010%8.4%2026-07-26 04:05
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -6.16%E -2.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV +0.319%E +0.085%K +0.116%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 08:55
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -1.02%E -0.275%K -0.377%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 08:55
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 08:54
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 08:55
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 08:55
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 08:56
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -15.46%E -8.09%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 06:34
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -3.51%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -5.03%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 09:25
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -3.51%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -5.03%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 09:25
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -11.59%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -5.03%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 09:00
1xBet3.41I 29.33%NM 28.46%EV -1.16%E -0.339%K -0.480%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.42%EV -5.30%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 04:04
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 08:55
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 08:55
MyBookie.ag3.18I 31.45%NM 29.09%EV -7.82%E -2.46%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -7.94%E -3.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 09:10
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -15.94%E -5.50%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 04:05
BetOnline.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -2.90%E -0.865%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -3.95%E -1.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -7.71%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 08:45
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -2.90%E -0.865%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -3.95%E -1.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -7.71%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 08:46
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.71%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 09:05
ReBet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -9.56%E -3.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.45%EV -7.97%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 09:05
Pinnacle3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -2.32%E -0.687%K -0.977%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.71%EV -3.51%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 08:55
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -4.93%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.17%EV -6.61%E -3.13%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 08:55
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 08:55
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 08:55
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.89%EV -15.94%E -5.50%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.23%EV -13.25%E -6.76%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.88%EV -10.38%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-26 09:03
Betclic (FR)3.03I 33.00%NM 28.94%EV -12.17%E -4.02%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.73%EV -13.25%E -6.76%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.33%EV -10.92%E -3.28%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 09:03
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 08:50
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 08:50
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 08:51
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 08:50
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 08:50
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.98%EV -18.84%E -6.73%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.19%EV -15.90%E -8.37%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.83%EV -13.06%E -4.02%K -5.80%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-26 09:06
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%6.2%2026-07-26 05:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%6.2%2026-07-26 05:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%6.2%2026-07-26 05:50
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 34.07%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.08%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.85%16.5%2026-07-26 08:50