La escuela de los momios

Sporting Kansas City v Houston Dynamo

2026-08-02 00:30 UTC — MLS

Resultado del partido

36 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sporting Kansas City (Local)

Predicción 28.99%3.45momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.339%
Kelly -0.480%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.27%29.09%28.78%30.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.133.113.4135.71%31.92%32.15%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Dynamo (Visitante)

Predicción 44.26%2.26momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.62%44.34%44.20%46.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.082.102.2052.63%48.05%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.75%3.74momio equitativo
EV +1.66%
Ventaja +0.436%
Kelly +0.592%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.27%26.57%27.02%28.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.493.483.8030.77%28.65%28.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV +1.66%E +0.436%K +0.592%G +0.010%6.2%2026-07-26 04:08
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV +1.66%E +0.436%K +0.592%G +0.010%6.2%2026-07-26 04:10
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV +1.66%E +0.436%K +0.592%G +0.010%8.4%2026-07-26 04:05
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -6.16%E -2.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV +0.319%E +0.085%K +0.116%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 08:55
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -1.02%E -0.275%K -0.377%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 08:55
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 08:54
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 08:55
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 08:55
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 08:56
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -15.46%E -8.09%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 06:34
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -3.51%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -5.03%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 09:25
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -3.51%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -5.03%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 09:25
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -11.59%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -5.03%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 09:00
1xBet3.41I 29.33%NM 28.46%EV -1.16%E -0.339%K -0.480%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.42%EV -5.30%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 04:04
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 08:55
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.35%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 08:55
MyBookie.ag3.18I 31.45%NM 29.09%EV -7.82%E -2.46%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -7.94%E -3.81%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 09:10
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -15.94%E -5.50%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.48%E -5.74%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 04:05
BetOnline.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -2.90%E -0.865%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -3.95%E -1.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -7.71%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 08:45
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -2.90%E -0.865%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -3.95%E -1.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -7.71%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 08:46
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.14%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.71%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 09:05
ReBet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -9.56%E -3.07%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.45%EV -7.97%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 09:05
Pinnacle3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -2.32%E -0.687%K -0.977%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.71%EV -3.51%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 08:55
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -4.93%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.17%EV -6.61%E -3.13%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 08:55
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 08:55
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.04%E -4.35%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 08:55
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.89%EV -15.94%E -5.50%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.23%EV -13.25%E -6.76%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.88%EV -10.38%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-26 09:03
Betclic (FR)3.03I 33.00%NM 28.94%EV -12.17%E -4.02%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.73%EV -13.25%E -6.76%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.33%EV -10.92%E -3.28%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 09:03
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 08:50
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 08:50
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 08:51
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 08:50
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 08:50
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.98%EV -18.84%E -6.73%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.19%EV -15.90%E -8.37%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.83%EV -13.06%E -4.02%K -5.80%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-26 09:06
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%6.2%2026-07-26 05:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%6.2%2026-07-26 05:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%6.2%2026-07-26 05:50
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 34.07%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.08%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.85%16.5%2026-07-26 08:50