L’École des cotes

Seattle Sounders FC v San Jose Earthquakes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 01:30 UTC

Score final : Seattle Sounders FC 3–2 San Jose Earthquakes

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Sounders FC (Local)

Prévision 65.55%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -3.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.72%65.35%65.52%66.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.55%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Jose Earthquakes (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.13%6.61cote équitable
EV +4.42%
Avantage +0.640%
Kelly +0.748%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 6.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.77%15.28%15.25%17.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.206.026.006.9019.23%16.60%16.67%14.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.32%5.18cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.210%
Kelly -0.261%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.50%19.37%19.23%20.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.774.755.1222.22%20.98%21.05%19.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV +4.42%E +0.640%K +0.748%G +0.033%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 01:00
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV +4.42%E +0.640%K +0.748%G +0.033%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 01:00
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.94%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +2.15%E +0.318%K +0.373%G +0.008%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 01:10
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 01:20
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 01:09
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 01:25
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 01:00
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:10
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 01:20
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 01:25
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 01:10
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 01:00
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.58%EV -3.65%E -2.48%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 15.13%EV -3.60%E -0.566%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 01:25
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -5.42%E -0.867%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 00:40
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.11%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.23I 16.05%NM 15.47%EV -5.72%E -0.919%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.43%EV -4.17%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 01:00
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 65.22%EV -2.34%E -1.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.80%EV -6.93%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.98%EV -1.08%E -0.210%K -0.261%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-14 01:25
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.74%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -7.69%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.55%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.74%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -7.69%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.55%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 01:20
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.74%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -7.69%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.55%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 01:20
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.74%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -7.69%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.55%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 01:20
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.68%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -7.69%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 01:25
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 01:20
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.32%EV -6.29%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 01:24
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.32%EV -6.29%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 01:25
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:25
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:19
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:20
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:19
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:19
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:25
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 01:00
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 01:00
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 01:00
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:25
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 00:40
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 01:19
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 01:10
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-14 01:20
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.08%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.86%EV -9.96%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.06%EV -4.36%E -0.881%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 01:25
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.40%EV -1.68%E -1.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.66%EV -12.23%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%EV -1.46%E -0.287%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 01:00
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.40%EV -1.68%E -1.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.66%EV -12.23%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%EV -1.46%E -0.287%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 00:40
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -12.23%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 01:25
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.80%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -12.23%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.44%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:19
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.67%EV -10.16%E -2.18%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 01:25
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-14 01:20
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-14 01:20
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:25
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:25
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:25
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:25
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-14 01:00
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -20.55%E -3.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -20.55%E -3.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -20.55%E -3.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 01:25
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -21.31%E -4.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 01:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.72%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.69%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.59%0.1%2026-05-14 01:25
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-05-14 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-05-14 01:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-05-14 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-05-14 01:20
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62%2.1%2026-05-14 01:20