La escuela de los momios

Seattle Sounders FC v San Jose Earthquakes

Inicio: 2026-05-14 01:30 UTC

Final: Seattle Sounders FC 3–2 San Jose Earthquakes

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Sounders FC (Local)

Predicción 65.55%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -3.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.72%65.35%65.52%66.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.55%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Jose Earthquakes (Visitante)

Predicción 15.13%6.61momio equitativo
EV +4.42%
Ventaja +0.640%
Kelly +0.748%
Crecimiento +0.033%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.77%15.28%15.25%17.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.206.026.006.9019.23%16.60%16.67%14.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.32%5.18momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.210%
Kelly -0.261%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.50%19.37%19.23%20.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.774.755.1222.22%20.98%21.05%19.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV +4.42%E +0.640%K +0.748%G +0.033%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 01:00
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV +4.42%E +0.640%K +0.748%G +0.033%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 01:00
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.94%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +2.15%E +0.318%K +0.373%G +0.008%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 01:10
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 01:20
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 01:09
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 01:25
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 01:00
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:10
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 01:20
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 01:25
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -1.64%E -0.252%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 01:10
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -3.15%E -0.492%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 01:00
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.58%EV -3.65%E -2.48%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 15.13%EV -3.60%E -0.566%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 01:25
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -5.42%E -0.867%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 00:40
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.11%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.23I 16.05%NM 15.47%EV -5.72%E -0.919%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.43%EV -4.17%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 01:00
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 65.22%EV -2.34%E -1.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.80%EV -6.93%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.98%EV -1.08%E -0.210%K -0.261%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-14 01:25
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.74%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -7.69%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.55%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.74%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -7.69%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.55%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 01:20
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.74%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -7.69%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.55%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 01:20
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.74%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -7.69%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.55%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 01:20
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.68%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -7.69%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 01:25
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 01:20
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.32%EV -6.29%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 01:24
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.32%EV -6.29%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 01:25
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:25
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:19
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:20
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:19
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:19
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:25
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 01:00
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 01:00
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 01:00
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:25
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 00:40
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 01:19
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 01:10
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -9.20%E -1.53%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-14 01:20
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.08%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.86%EV -9.96%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.06%EV -4.36%E -0.881%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 01:25
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.40%EV -1.68%E -1.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.66%EV -12.23%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%EV -1.46%E -0.287%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 01:00
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.40%EV -1.68%E -1.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.66%EV -12.23%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%EV -1.46%E -0.287%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 00:40
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -12.23%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 01:25
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.80%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -12.23%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.44%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:19
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.67%EV -10.16%E -2.18%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 01:25
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-14 01:20
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -12.99%E -2.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-14 01:20
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:25
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:25
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:25
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:25
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -16.77%E -3.05%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-14 01:00
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -20.55%E -3.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -20.55%E -3.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -20.55%E -3.91%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 01:25
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.50%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -21.31%E -4.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 01:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.72%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.69%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.59%0.1%2026-05-14 01:25
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-05-14 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-05-14 01:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-05-14 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-05-14 01:20
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62%2.1%2026-05-14 01:20