The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake

2026-11-20 03:00 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Sounders FC (Local)

Prediction 47.81%2.09fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.89%47.73%47.95%48.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.921.952.0458.82%52.15%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Salt Lake (Visit)

Prediction 27.25%3.67fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -0.922%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.46%27.25%27.12%29.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.353.313.5534.48%29.89%30.21%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.95%4.01fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.306%
Kelly -0.410%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.03%25.02%24.93%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.673.653.9629.85%27.23%27.40%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Seattle Sounders FC (Local): 47.81%; Real Salt Lake (Visit): 27.25%; Draw: 24.95%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.96, with an expected value of -1.21%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.51%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.01%EV -5.73%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.48%EV -1.21%E -0.306%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-09 10:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.39%E -2.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 11:30
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -3.55%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.85%EV -4.21%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-09 12:15
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.44%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -3.27%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-09 12:05
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.44%EV -5.34%E -2.70%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -3.27%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-09 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.28%EV -5.82%E -2.95%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.95%EV -3.82%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.77%EV -4.21%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.28%EV -5.82%E -2.95%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.95%EV -3.82%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.77%EV -4.21%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 13:59
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.17%EV -6.30%E -3.21%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -4.64%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-09 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.48%EV -6.30%E -3.21%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -9.54%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-09 10:10
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.64%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-09 13:40
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.00%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-09 15:40
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.00%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 12:15
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-09 13:25
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-09 12:05
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-09 13:25
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-09 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-09 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-09 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.64%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-09 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.64%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-09 13:55
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-09 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-09 13:25
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-09 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-09 13:25
picklebet_au🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -9.17%E -4.82%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 12:15
ReBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -9.64%E -5.10%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.04%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-09 12:05
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -10.12%E -5.38%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-09 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.53%EV -10.60%E -5.67%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.81%E -4.00%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-09 12:14
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.56%E -6.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.4%2026-11-09 14:15
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.19%EV -12.51%E -6.84%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.78%EV -20.98%E -7.24%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-09 17:28
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.37%EV -12.99%E -7.14%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -12.81%E -4.00%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-09 12:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.46%EV -13.47%E -7.44%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -10.90%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -11.44%E -3.22%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-09 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -13.95%E -7.75%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.53%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%16.4%2026-11-09 12:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 48.64%EV -18.73%E -11.02%K -26.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.67%EV -15.53%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.68%EV -16.43%E -4.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%20.9%2026-11-09 12:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-11-09 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 44.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.09%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.53%14.4%2026-11-09 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 44.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.09%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.53%14.4%2026-11-09 19:30
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 41.81%2.76I 36.23%NM 27.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 30.77%32.1%2026-11-09 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 28.92%1.12I 89.29%NM 50.87%2.82I 35.46%NM 20.20%75.5%2026-11-09 19:30

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