The School of Odds
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Seattle Sounders FC v Los Angeles FC

2026-11-08 00:00 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Sounders FC (Local)

Prediction 40.54%2.47fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.19%40.54%40.54%40.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.292.302.3846.08%43.57%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles FC (Visit)

Prediction 33.91%2.95fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%33.91%33.91%33.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.752.8538.46%36.45%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.55%3.91fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -0.768%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.45%25.55%25.55%25.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.623.653.8029.41%27.61%27.40%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Seattle Sounders FC (Local): 40.54%; Los Angeles FC (Visit): 33.91%; Draw: 25.55%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.80, with an expected value of -2.92%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -3.36%E -1.18%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.92%E -0.768%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-01 00:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -3.36%E -1.18%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.92%E -0.768%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-01 00:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.63%EV -3.51%E -1.47%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -3.36%E -1.18%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -2.92%E -0.768%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-01 00:14
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -6.75%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 00:15
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -6.75%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 00:14
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -6.75%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -6.75%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -6.75%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 00:15
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -6.75%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 00:15
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -6.75%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 00:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.75%E -2.93%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.75%E -2.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -7.56%E -3.32%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 00:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 00:15
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.78%E -3.90%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.45%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 00:15
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -9.59%E -4.30%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -10.14%E -3.83%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -11.86%E -3.44%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 00:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.44%EV -12.02%E -5.54%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -11.84%E -4.55%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -13.14%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 43.02%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%7.1%2026-11-01 05:55