Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Sounders FC v CF Montreal

2026-10-18 02:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Sounders FC (Local)

Prediction 54.96%1.82fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -5.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.03%54.96%54.96%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.701.7560.61%58.75%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CF Montreal (Visit)

Prediction 22.25%4.49fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -0.741%
Kelly -0.963%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.85%22.25%22.25%22.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.184.204.3525.32%23.90%23.81%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.79%4.39fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -0.740%
Kelly -0.967%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.70%22.79%22.79%23.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.074.104.2525.97%24.57%24.39%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Seattle Sounders FC (Local): 54.96%; CF Montreal (Visit): 22.25%; Draw: 22.79%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.25, with an expected value of -3.14%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.12%EV -3.81%E -2.18%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -3.23%E -0.741%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -3.14%E -0.740%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 02:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.12%EV -3.81%E -2.18%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -3.23%E -0.741%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -3.14%E -0.740%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 02:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.12%EV -3.81%E -2.18%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -3.23%E -0.741%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.70%EV -3.14%E -0.740%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 02:35
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.56%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 02:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.56%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 02:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.56%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 02:35
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.56%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 02:35
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.56%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 02:35
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.56%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 02:35
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.56%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 02:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -7.11%E -4.21%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.45%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 02:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -7.66%E -4.56%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -9.98%E -2.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 02:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -7.66%E -4.56%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.12%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 02:35
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -7.66%E -4.56%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.12%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 02:35
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.31%E -5.64%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -12.12%E -3.07%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -12.26%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-11 02:36
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%9.2%2026-10-11 07:55