Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Sounders FC v Austin FC

2026-08-20 01:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Sounders FC (Local)

Prediction 57.15%1.75fair odd
EV -4.56%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -6.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.49%57.16%57.15%58.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.611.611.6765.79%62.16%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austin FC (Visit)

Prediction 20.13%4.97fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -0.707%
Kelly -0.893%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.44%20.11%20.13%21.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.504.434.8023.81%22.24%22.60%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.72%4.40fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +0.502%
Kelly +0.646%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.59%22.73%22.72%23.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.684.024.004.5027.17%24.87%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Seattle Sounders FC (Local): 57.15%; Austin FC (Visit): 20.13%; Draw: 22.72%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.40. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.50, producing a positive expected value of +2.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.17%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.24%EV -3.39%E -0.707%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.59%EV +2.26%E +0.502%K +0.646%G +0.015%2.9%2026-08-02 14:34
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.35%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -5.40%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -3.42%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 11:35
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.17%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -4.40%E -0.926%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 11:40
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -7.99%E -4.96%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -7.42%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 11:40
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -5.40%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 11:39
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -6.85%E -4.20%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.39%E -0.707%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 14:28
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.43%E -2.10%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 11:40
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 14:04
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.99%E -4.96%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 14:04
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.99%E -4.96%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 14:04
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.99%E -4.96%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 14:04
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.50%EV -8.56%E -5.35%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.32%EV -10.44%E -2.35%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.38%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 12:39
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -11.99%E -7.79%K -22.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -13.46%E -3.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -11.38%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 11:40
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -8.56%E -5.35%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.47%E -3.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 11:40
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 56.76%EV -13.13%E -8.64%K -25.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.54%EV -15.47%E -3.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -13.65%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 11:39
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 56.74%EV -13.13%E -8.64%K -25.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.83%EV -12.45%E -2.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.44%EV -16.37%E -4.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-02 11:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:25