La escuela de los momios

San Jose Earthquakes v Sporting Kansas City

Inicio: 2026-02-22 03:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Jose Earthquakes (Local)

Predicción 54.24%1.84momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -2.25%
Kelly -5.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.40%54.28%54.18%55.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.711.711.7764.94%58.56%58.48%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sporting Kansas City (Visitante)

Predicción 23.18%4.31momio equitativo
EV +0.852%
Ventaja +0.196%
Kelly +0.254%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.91%23.23%23.23%24.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.034.034.3528.57%24.82%24.84%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.57%4.43momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.349%
Kelly +0.448%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.70%22.49%22.59%24.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.114.104.5029.41%24.35%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -11.90%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +1.57%E +0.349%K +0.448%G +0.007%7.4%2026-02-21 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.60%EV -5.61%E -3.23%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.66%EV -1.00%E -0.235%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.74%EV +0.440%E +0.099%K +0.128%G +0.001%3.4%2026-02-22 02:25
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.60%EV -5.61%E -3.23%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.66%EV -1.00%E -0.235%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.74%EV +0.440%E +0.099%K +0.128%G +0.001%3.4%2026-02-22 02:25
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.53%E -2.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.11%EV -2.86%E -0.682%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.86%EV -0.011%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 03:20
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -8.33%E -4.93%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -0.688%E -0.156%K -0.202%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 18:30
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.94%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%EV -3.32%E -0.797%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.00%EV -1.37%E -0.312%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 03:20
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.73%EV -6.70%E -3.89%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -2.27%E -0.524%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 20:45
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -2.27%E -0.524%K -0.681%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 18:30
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.21%EV -4.53%E -2.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.39%EV -5.41%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -3.85%E -0.903%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 03:05
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.54%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.00%EV -3.79%E -0.912%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -4.07%E -0.959%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:05
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.54%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.00%EV -3.79%E -0.912%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -4.07%E -0.959%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:05
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.70%E -3.89%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.21%EV -6.10%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -4.07%E -0.959%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 03:24
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.70%E -3.89%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.21%EV -6.10%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -4.07%E -0.959%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 03:14
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.70%E -3.89%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.21%EV -6.10%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -4.07%E -0.959%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 03:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -4.07%E -0.959%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.98%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV +0.852%E +0.196%K +0.254%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -5.20%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 03:20
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.98%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV +0.852%E +0.196%K +0.254%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -5.20%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 03:19
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.98%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV +0.852%E +0.196%K +0.254%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -5.20%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 03:20
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.98%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV +0.852%E +0.196%K +0.254%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -5.20%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 03:20
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -2.63%E -0.625%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -5.20%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 17:25
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.20%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 16:59
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.20%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:09
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -5.61%E -3.23%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.20%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.99%E -2.25%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -4.94%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.24%E -4.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -0.308%E -0.072%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 03:20
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.24%E -4.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -0.308%E -0.072%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 03:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.24%E -4.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -0.308%E -0.072%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 03:19
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.24%E -4.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -0.308%E -0.072%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 03:20
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.24%E -4.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -0.308%E -0.072%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 03:20
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.24%E -4.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -0.308%E -0.072%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 03:20
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.24%E -4.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -0.308%E -0.072%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 03:19
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -7.24%E -4.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -0.308%E -0.072%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 03:20
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.11%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -1.47%E -0.345%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 03:20
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.70%E -3.89%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.94%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:25
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 18:10
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.24%E -4.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -4.94%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:05
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:05
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 53.89%EV -7.24%E -4.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -7.46%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 17:00
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.04%EV -8.33%E -4.93%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.55%EV -8.59%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 03:25
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.26%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -9.72%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 16:50
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -9.41%E -5.64%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.63%E -0.625%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.72%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 03:20
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.72%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 16:55
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.72%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.72%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 16:55
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.72%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 16:55
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.60%EV -7.24%E -4.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.42%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.85%E -2.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.94%EV -10.50%E -6.36%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -4.94%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -10.85%E -2.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 03:20
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.97%EV -9.95%E -6.00%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -17.70%E -4.98%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -10.85%E -2.75%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-21 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -11.97%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 16:54
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -11.97%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -11.97%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 16:55
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -7.78%E -4.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -11.97%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.32%EV -11.58%E -7.10%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.81%EV -15.38%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%EV -14.23%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-22 03:20
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 54.19%EV -16.46%E -10.69%K -30.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -18.86%E -5.39%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.96%EV -14.23%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-22 02:35
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.23%EV -12.12%E -7.48%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.95%EV -16.54%E -4.59%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 22.81%EV -14.68%E -3.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-22 03:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 53.26%EV -13.75%E -8.65%K -23.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.85%EV -17.70%E -4.98%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.89%EV -16.49%E -4.46%K -6.11%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-22 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -12.12%E -7.48%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -13.06%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -23.26%E -6.84%K -9.69%G +0.000%17.8%2026-02-22 00:36
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%1.5%2026-02-22 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%1.5%2026-02-22 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%1.5%2026-02-22 03:20
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%1.5%2026-02-22 03:25
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-02-22 03:25
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%3.7%2026-02-22 03:25