Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose Earthquakes v Real Salt Lake

2026-10-31 21:00 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose Earthquakes (Local)

Prediction 46.23%2.16fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -3.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.85%46.23%46.23%46.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.012.022.0852.91%49.75%49.50%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Salt Lake (Visit)

Prediction 30.13%3.32fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.644%
Kelly -0.930%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.80%30.13%30.13%30.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.36%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.64%4.23fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -0.748%
Kelly -0.989%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.31%23.64%23.64%23.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.933.954.1027.40%25.48%25.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Jose Earthquakes (Local): 46.23%; Real Salt Lake (Visit): 30.13%; Draw: 23.64%. For Real Salt Lake (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.25, with an expected value of -2.09%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.57%EV -3.84%E -1.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -3.07%E -0.748%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-25 00:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.57%EV -3.84%E -1.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -3.07%E -0.748%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-25 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.57%EV -3.84%E -1.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -3.07%E -0.748%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-25 00:45
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 22:00
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 22:00
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 22:00
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 21:59
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.61%E -3.27%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -6.61%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.98%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -8.46%E -4.27%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.16%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.98%EV -8.92%E -4.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.16%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -10.31%E -5.31%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.34%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 00:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.09%EV -12.62%E -6.68%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.87%EV -13.70%E -3.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-25 00:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 49.55%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%9.1%2026-10-24 23:05